Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Prediction for May 9

by | Last updated May 9, 2023 | mlb

Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
Date: Tuesday, May 9th, 6:10 ET
Location: Progressive Field
TV: BSGL
Money Line: Tigers +177/Guardians -210 (Are you reaping the benefits of dimelines?)
Total Line: 7.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Cleveland Guardians and the Tigers on Tuesday, May 9th at Progressive Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
DET +177 +1.5 O 7.5 (-113)
CLE -210 -1.5 U 7.5 (-107)

Tigers vs. Guardians Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Zach McKinstry 1 2B
Riley Greene 2 CF
Javier Báez 3 SS
Nick Maton 4 LF
Spencer Torkelson 5 1B
Akil Baddoo 6 LF
Matt Vierling 7 CF
Eric Haase 8 C
Andy Ibáñez 9 3B
Michael Lorenzen RP

 

Batting Order Position
Steven Kwan 1 LF
Amed Rosario 2 SS
José Ramírez 3 3B
Josh Naylor 4 1B
Josh Bell 5 1B
Andrés Giménez 6 2B
Gabriel Arias 7 SS
Mike Zunino 8 C
Myles Straw 9 CF
Shane Bieber SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Detroit Tigers: 16-18 SU / OU 18-15 / Runline 20-14
Cleveland Guardians: 16-19 SU / OU 13-21 / Runline 13-22

With an overall record of 16-18, the Tigers are in 2nd place in the AL Central, trailing by 2.5 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 7-3. On the road, the Tigers have a mark of 8-11 while going 8-7 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 6-5.

 

  • The Tigers have covered the runline in 58.8% of their games and have an average run margin of -1.1
  • The Tigers have been favored in 2.9% of their games and have runline records of 9-6 and 11-8 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 55% of the Tigers’ 34 games at 18-15.

Heading into today’s action, the Guardians’ record of 16-19 has them sitting 3rd in the AL Central. Currently, they are three games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 10-9 and 6-10, respectively. Cleveland’s overall series record sits at 4-7.

 

  • The Guardians have covered the runline in 37.1% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.6
  • The Guardians have been favored in 62.9% of their games and have runline records of 5-11 and 8-11 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Guardians have an over/under record of just 13-21.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Michael Lorenzen 4 4 21 1-1 5.14 1.38 3

Starter Michael Lorenzen comes in with an overall record of 1-1 for the Tigers. Having made four appearances, his ERA is 5.14 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.8. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.83 and an OBP of .330.

A quality start and a win were added to Michael Lorenzen’s record in his previous outing against the Mets. The Tigers went on to win by a score of 8-1. Lorenzen allowed one run and four hits during seven innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Shane Bieber 7 7 45 2-1 2.96 1.07 4

The Guardians will turn to starter Shane Bieber who has an overall record of 2-1. Through seven appearances his ERA stands at 2.96 with a K/9 figure of 0.7. So far, he has put together of FIP of 4.03 to go along with an OBP of .276.

Shane Bieber delivered a quality start in his last outing, pitching eight innings and allowing two runs. Despite his efforts, the Guardians fell to the Yankees by a score of 4-3.

Tigers vs. Guardians Offense Outlook

With 30 home runs, Detroit ranks just 25th in terms of total home runs. Their batting average is 23rd in the league at .233. The team’s OPS of .662 comes in ranked 29th in the league.

Detroit Tigers Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Riley Greene .263 3 .400 .314
Spencer Torkelson .227 2 .340 .271
Matt Vierling .274 2 .425 .326
Javier Báez .238 1 .321 .272
Zach McKinstry .250 2 .412 .322

Detroit Tigers Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Riley Greene .420 8 3 1 .760
Javier Báez .357 7 2 2 .707
Spencer Torkelson .270 6 2 1 .510
Andy Ibáñez .467 6 4 1 .900
Eric Haase .367 7 4 0 .367

In terms of home runs, the Cleveland team ranks just 30th in the league with 19 home runs. When looking at their batting average, they are 28th in the league at .223. Currently, they are 30th in OPS at .629.

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
José Ramírez .348 2 .517 .401
Steven Kwan .263 1 .326 .308
Josh Bell .216 2 .341 .288
Amed Rosario .213 1 .281 .241
Josh Naylor .224 3 .376 .284

Cleveland Guardians Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Steven Kwan .280 6 3 1 .480
José Ramírez .250 5 3 1 .400
Josh Bell .333 6 0 0 .333
Myles Straw .150 3 2 0 .200
Amed Rosario .133 2 2 0 .133

Free MLB Pick

Shane Bieber is a reliable pitcher who consistently gives his team a chance to win. He has held the opposition to three or fewer runs in all seven starts this season and 22 out of his last 23 starts. Despite his impressive performance, the Indians have struggled in his starts this season, posting a 2-5 record.

The Tigers have marginally better offensive numbers, averaging 3.75 runs per game. However, their current form is much stronger, having scored five or more runs in six out of their last seven games. In contrast, the Indians have struggled to score runs, with three or fewer runs in seven out of their last eight games.

The Tigers will start Michael Lorenzen, who is coming off his best performance of the season, allowing one run on four hits over seven innings against the Mets. Although Lorenzen’s performance has been inconsistent this season, a repeat of his previous start could potentially lead the Tigers to victory.

Considering the Tigers’ stronger current form and Lorenzen’s potential to produce a strong performance on the mound, I recommend taking the Tigers at +177 for this game. Bankroll running low? Instead of re-depositing and getting NOTHING from your bookie, consider grabbing a 125% real cash bonus up to $400, PLUS get a free half point everytime you bet your favorite basketball/football teams at GTBets!

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