Tigers vs. Red Sox Total Pick 6/20/22

by | Jun 20, 2022 | mlb

Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, June 20th, 07:10 ET

Location: Fenway Park

TV: NESN

Money Line: Tigers +148 / Red Sox -180 (Get better lines >>> And odds too!)

Total Line: 9.5

STARTING PITCHING

Detroit: Alex Faedo (1-3, 4.28)
Boston: Josh Winckowski (1-1, 4.5)

Tigers Projected Lineup

Jonathan Schoop 2B
Spencer Torkelson 1B
Javier Báez SS
Robbie Grossman LF
Harold Castro 2B
Tucker Barnhart C
Miguel Cabrera 1B
Riley Greene CF
Victor Reyes CF
Alex Faedo P

Red Sox Projected Lineup

Franchy Cordero LF
Christian Vázquez C
Alex Verdugo CF
Trevor Story 2B
Jackie Bradley Jr. RF
Rafael Devers 3B
J.D. Martinez LF
Xander Bogaerts SS
Jarren Duran CF
Josh Winckowski P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Detroit Tigers: 26-40-0 SU / OU 24-40-2 / Run Line W/L 30-36-0
Boston Red Sox: 36-31-0 SU / OU 28-34-5 / Run Line W/L 36-31-0

The Boston Red Sox host the Detroit Tigers on Monday, June 20th at Fenway Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Boston as the favorite (-180), with an OU line set at 9.5.

Recent Form

The Detroit Tigers are coming off a 4 run win over the Rangers by a score of 7-3. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 3 runs on 5 hits. The Tigers benefited from an offense that generated 7 runs on 8 hits. Detroit picked up the win, despite getting 133.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.5 runs. Games involving the Tigers have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 24-40-2.

After their 5 most recent games, the Tigers have gone just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -11. However, the team’s offense isn’t to blame, as they are averaging 4.4 runs per game (last 5) compared to their season average of 2.88. Detroit’s overall series record is just 5-13-3.

Boston will look to keep things rolling in today’s game, as they most recently took down the Cardinals by 2 runs, (6-4). In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 4 runs on 7 hits. In the victory, the Red Sox came up with 9 hits and 6 runs. Boston picked up the win while being favored at -161.0. So far, the team has won 60.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Red Sox and Cardinals combined to surpass the line of 9.0 runs. Against the run total, Boston is just 28-34-5.

In their last 5 games, the Red Sox have put together a record of 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +2 (last 5). Boston has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 5.4 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.73. On the season, Boston has won more than half of their series, going 10-8-3.

Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send Alex Faedo to the mound with an overall record of 1-3. So far, Faedo has put together an ERA of 4.28. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.0 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.280. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Faedo, averaging 1.35 homers per 9 innings pitched. Faedo is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 4.12 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 19.0%. Throughout the season, Faedo has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.7 per contest.

The Boston Red Sox will send Josh Winckowski to the mound with an overall record of 1-1. Winckowski gets the start with an ERA of 4.50. On average, he has lasted 4.0 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.294. So far, Winckowski has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 1.12 home runs per 9 innings. Winckowski is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.5 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 18.0%. Throughout the season, Winckowski has avoided walking batters, allowing just 4.5 per contest.

Detroit vs Boston History

For the season, the Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox will be playing their 4th game of the season. Boston holds the edge in the series at 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-2. The average run total in these games is 11.67 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.0 runs. Last year, the team’s split the season series at 3-3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 3-3, with the average run total being 11.67 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.33 runs per game.

More Picks: NYY/TB betting analysis and free pick to bet 6/20/22 >>>

Betting Trends

  • Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Texas
  • Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Texas

Detroit Tigers at Boston Red Sox Prediction

The Detroit Tigers and Boston Red Sox meet up on Monday night with Boston as the heavy favorite on the moneyline. However, rather than pick a team to win, I recommend taking the over at 9.5 runs. Josh Winckowski has made just 2 appearances for the Red Sox and has a WHIP of 1.75. On the other side, Alex Faedo most recently gave up 7 runs to the White Sox.

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