Tigers vs. Yankees Runline Bet

by | Last updated Jun 5, 2022 | mlb

Detroit Tigers vs New York Yankees
Date: Sunday, June 5th, 11:35 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
TV: Peacock
Money Line: Tigers 255 / Yankees -320 (WagerWeb)
Total Line: 8.5


Detroit: Rony García (0-1, 4.7)
New York: Jordan Montgomery (1-1, 3.04)

Tigers Projected Lineup

Eric Haase C
Daz Cameron RF
Jeimer Candelario 3B
Spencer Torkelson 1B
Derek Hill CF
Miguel Cabrera 1B
Javier Báez SS
Willi Castro CF
Jonathan Schoop 2B
Rony García P

Yankees Projected Lineup

Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Aaron Hicks CF
Josh Donaldson 3B
Joey Gallo RF
Aaron Judge RF
Jose Trevino C
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Matt Carpenter 2B
DJ LeMahieu 2B
Jordan Montgomery P


Detroit Tigers: 21-32-0 SU / OU 17-34-2 / Run Line W/L 24-29-0
New York Yankees: 38-15-0 SU / OU 23-30-0 / Run Line W/L 28-25-0

The New York Yankees host the Detroit Tigers on Sunday, June 5th at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 11:35 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-320), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Tigers will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Yankees by the score of 3-0. In the losing effort, the pitching staff still held the Yankees to just 3 runs on 4 hits. With their 1 hit, the Tigers could not muster a run. The loss came as Detroit was the betting underdog, getting 280.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Tigers and Yankees stayed below the over-under line set at 9.0 runs. So far, Detroit has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 17-34-2.

In the Tigers’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. Despite their recent success, their last 5-run margin comes in at -6. Detroit’s offense heads into action averaging 2.4 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 2.75. Detroit’s overall series record is just 4-11-2.

New York is coming off a 3-run win over the Tigers (3-0). In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 0 runs on 1 hit. The Yankees offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 4 hits. Heading into action, New York was the favorite, at -360.0. So far, the team has won 71.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Yankees and Tigers’ run total fell below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. Now, New York had an over-under record of 23-30-0.

The Yankees come into the matchup looking to stay hot, going 5-0 over their last five contests. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +30 (last 5). The Yankees’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 6.6 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.77. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 13-2-2.

Pitching Matchup

The Detroit Tigers will send Rony García to the mound with an overall record of 0-1. So far, García has put together an ERA of 4.7. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 2.3 innings. Through 10 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.188. Despite a strong batting average allowed, García is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.57 homers per 9 innings pitched. García is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 2.9 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 32.0%. Throughout the season, García has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.35 per contest.

New York will roll with Jordan Montgomery (1-1) as their starter. Currently, Montgomery has a strong ERA of just 3.04 while pitching an average of 5.31 innings per outing. In his previous outings, left-hander opponents are hitting 0.227 off the left-hander. So far, Montgomery has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 1.02 home runs per 9 innings. Up to this point, Montgomery has a strikeout percentage of just 19.0% and a per game average of 4.1. Throughout the season, Montgomery has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.52 per contest.

Detroit vs New York History

Today’s matchup between the Detroit Tigers and New York Yankees will be their 6th meeting of the season. New York holds the edge in the series at 4-1. Through 5 games, the series’ over-under record is 2-3, with the average run total sitting at 7.0 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.6 runs. When looking back to last season, Detroit and New York split the season series, with each team picking up 3. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 2-4. Last year, the Tigers and Yankees averaged 7.0 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.0 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit’s last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
  • NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit

Detroit Tigers at New York Yankees Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s early matchup between Detroit and New York, the Yankees are once again the heavy favorite. On the season, the Tigers have won just 2 games in which Rony Garcia has started. Not only has the right-hander struggled on the mound, but Detroit’s offense doesn’t offer much for run support. I don’t see things changing against Jordan Montgomery and his 1.01 WHIP. I like New York on the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Yankees -1.5 Runline

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