Today’s Best Bet: Mets vs. Giants 5/24/22

by | May 24, 2022 | mlb

New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants
Date: Tuesday, May 24th, 09:45 ET
Location: Oracle Park
TV: SNY
Money Line: Mets +113 / Giants -135
Total Line: 7.0

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Chris Bassitt (4-2, 2.77)
San Francisco: Logan Webb (5-1, 3.54)

Mets Projected Lineup

Eduardo Escobar 2B
Jeff McNeil 2B
Mark Canha LF
Starling Marte CF
Dominic Smith 1B
Tomás Nido C
Francisco Lindor SS
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Chris Bassitt P

Giants Projected Lineup

Thairo Estrada CF
Luis Gonzalez P
Joc Pederson RF
Brandon Crawford SS
Evan Longoria 3B
Joey Bart C
Mike Yastrzemski CF
Tommy La Stella 2B
Wilmer Flores 2B
Logan Webb P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Mets: 29-15-0 SU / OU 20-21-3 / Run Line W/L 25-19-0
San Francisco Giants: 22-19-0 SU / OU 23-17-1 / Run Line W/L 18-23-0

The San Francisco Giants host the New York Mets on Tuesday, May 24th at Oracle Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:45 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Francisco as the favorite (-135), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The New York Mets will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the SF Giants by a score of 13-3. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 3 runs on 7 hits. The Mets lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up 18 hits, leading to 13 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 128.0 on the moneyline. With the OU line set at 7.5 runs, the Mets and SF Giants combined to go over this total. Games involving the Mets have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 20-21-3.

The Mets come into this game with a 4-1 record of their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 9. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 4.70 runs per game. But, over this stretch this figure has bumped up to 6.0 So far, New York has won over half of their 14 series played, going 12-1-1.

San Francisco will look to move on from a 10 runs loss to the Mets, falling by the score of 13-3. San Francisco’s pitching staff gave up 18 hits, leading to 13 runs for the Mets. The Giants’ offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 7 hits. San Francisco came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-138.0). For the season, the team has been favored in 35 games, winning at a rate of 60.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Giants and Mets combined to surpass the line of 7.5 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 23-17-1.

In their last 5 contests, Giants have gone 0-5. During this time, the team has a run differential of -23. If San Francisco is going to pick up their play, they need to improve their offensive performance. Over their last 5 contests, they are averaging just 3.0 runs per game, compared to a season average of 4.90. On the season, San Francisco has won more than half of their series, going 7-6-2.

Pitching Matchup

New York will roll with Chris Bassitt (4-2) as their starter. In his previous outings, Bassitt is lasting an average of 6.03, putting together an ERA of just 2.77. So far, batters are hitting just 0.221 against him. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Bassitt is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.12 homers per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Chris Bassitt has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 24.0%, while averaging 6.125 K’s per game. Throughout the season, Bassitt has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.4 per contest.

Logan Webb gets the start for the Giants, with an overall record of 5-1. To date, Webb has an ERA of 3.54 while lasting an average of 6.01 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.258. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below average rate against Webb, as he is allowing just 0.37 per 9 innings. Up to this point, Webb has a strikeout percentage of just 17.0% and a per game average of 4.25. Throughout the season, Webb has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.42 per contest.

New York vs San Francisco History

Today’s matchup between the New York Mets and San Francisco Giants will be their 5th meeting of the season. New York has the lead in the series at 4-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-1. The average run total in these games is 7.17 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.0 runs. San Francisco won last year’s head-to-head series grabbing 5 wins to 1. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 1-5. Last year, the Mets and Giants averaged 7.17 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.83 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco’s last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco’s last 9 games when playing at home against NY Mets

New York Mets at San Francisco Giants Prediction

Heading into Tuesday’s matchup between New York and San Francisco, the Giants are favored to pick up the win. Their moneyline odds of -135 come despite their current 5-game losing streak. Even though the Giants have Logan Webb on the mound, I recommend grabbing the Mets to pick up the win. In San Francisco’s last 3 games, they have only scored 5 runs. And, with Chris Bassitt on the mound for the Mets, I don’t see them quickly turning things around. I like New York on the moneyline.

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