Today’s Best Bets: Colorado vs. Arizona 5/8/22

by | May 8, 2022 | mlb

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Sunday, May 8th, 04:10 ET

Location: Chase Field

TV: ATT SportsNet-RM

Money Line: Rockies +108 / Diamondbacks -130 (Everygame - Sign up, deposit $25 and then go to their special promotions page and enter bonus code ROOKIE200 and they’ll give you a FREE $50 bet!)

Total Line: 8

STARTING PITCHING

Colorado: German Marquez (0-2, 6.92)
Arizona: Zac Gallen (1-0, 1.27)

Rockies Projected Lineup

2B Brendan Rodgers
CF Sam Hilliard
3B Ryan McMahon
C Elias Díaz
SS José Iglesias
RF Randal Grichuk
1B C.J. Cron
LF Connor Joe
RF Charlie Blackmon

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

1B Seth Beer
SS Nick Ahmed
3B Josh Rojas
2B Ketel Marte
C Carson Kelly
LF David Peralta
1B Christian Walker
C Daulton Varsho
RF Pavin Smith

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Colorado Rockies: 16-11-0 SU / OU 13-13-1 / Run Line W/L 14-13-0
Arizona Diamondbacks: 14-14-0 SU / OU 10-17-1 / Run Line W/L 17-11-0

The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Colorado Rockies on Sunday, May 8th at Chase Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Arizona as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 8.

Recent Form

Colorado looks to keep things rolling after taking down the Diamondbacks by the score of 4-1. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Diamondbacks to 1 run on 6 hits. The Rockies benefited from an offense that generated 4 runs on 8 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 105.0. Together Rockies and Diamondbacks stayed below the OU line set at 8.5 runs. After the game, Colorado’s dropped back to an over-under record of 13-13-1.

The Rockies are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. Even with this record, in these games, their scoring differential is just -3. In their last 5 contests, Colorado is averaging 4.2 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.63. So far, Colorado has won over half of their 9 series played, going 6-1-2.

Arizona will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Rockies by the score of 4-1. For the game, the pitching staff held the Rockies to 1 on 8 hits. With their 6 hits, the Diamondbacks could only muster 4 runs. Arizona dropped the game despite being favored at -125.0. So far, the team has won 50.0% of their games in which they were favored. The team’s over under record currently sits at 10-17-1.

In their last 5 games, the Diamondbacks have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at 3. The Diamondbacks’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 4.6 runs per game, compared to their season average of 3.43. Arizona has a below .500 series record of just 2-3-4.

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Pitching Matchup

For the Rockies, German Marquez gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 0-2. To date, Marquez has an ERA of 6.92, while lasting an average of 5.2 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.336. In addition to a high a batting average allowed, opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Marquez, averaging 2.08 homers per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Marquez’s has a strikeout percentage of 16.0% and a per 9 average of 3.8. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.08 walks per contest.

For the Diamondbacks, Zac Gallen gets the start. So far, he has put together a record of 1-0. Heading into his matchup vs Colorado, Gallen has a strong ERA, sitting at just 1.27. This has come while averaging 5.28 innings per appearance. On the season, opposing team’s have put together a batting average of 0.149 against Gallen. In addition, team’s are hitting home runs at a below-average at a rate against him. Heading into today’s action, Zac Gallen is averaging 4.75 K’s per 9 innings. Throughout the season, his strong command has led to an average of just 1.69 walks per contest.

Colorado vs Arizona History

So far, the Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies have met up 2 times. Today’s game will be a rubber match for the two teams, as Colorado and Arizona each have 1 win. Through 19 games, the series’ over-under record is 0-2, with the average run total sitting at 11.16 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.0 runs. Going back to last year, Colorado won the season series, 10 games to 9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 11-7. Last year, the Rockies and Diamondbacks averaged 11.16 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.89 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado’s last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Colorado’s last 11 games
  • Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Arizona is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Throughout the season, I don’t expect to be betting on Arizona to pick up their second win in a row too often. However, with Zach Gallen on the mound and the Diamondbacks’ offense showing signs of improvement, look for Arizona to pick up the win over Colorado.

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