Toronto Blue Jays at Miami Marlins 6/20/23 Free Pick

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Miami Marlins
Date: Tuesday, June 20th, 6:40 ET
Location: loanDepot Park
TV: BSFL
Money Line: Blue Jays -105/Marlins -115
Total Line: 8

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Miami Marlins and the Blue Jays on Tuesday, June 20th at loanDepot Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Blue Jays vs. Marlins Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
George Springer	1	CF
Bo Bichette	2	SS
Daulton Varsho	3	RF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	4	1B
Whit Merrifield	5	2B
Matt Chapman	6	3B
Kevin Kiermaier	7	CF
Danny Jansen	8	C
Cavan Biggio	9	2B
Yusei Kikuchi	–	SP




	Batting Order	Position
Bryan De La Cruz	1	CF
Jorge Soler	2	DH
Luis Arraez	3	2B
Garrett Cooper	4	1B
Jon Berti	5	3B
Yuli Gurriel	6	1B
Garrett Hampson	7	SS
Nick Fortes	8	C
Jonathan Davis	9	CF
Eury Pérez	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 39-35 SU / OU 34-38 / Runline 32-42
Miami Marlins: 42-31 SU / OU 33-37 / Runline 36-37

Heading into their game vs. the Marlins, the Blue Jays have a record of 39-35 and have dropped three straight games. In the AL East, they are in 4th place and have an overall series record of 13-10. At home, they have gone 19-13 and 20-22 on the road.

• The Blue Jays have five straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.1.
• The Blue Jays have been favored in 68.9% of their games and have runline records of 13-19 and 19-23 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 34-38.

On a record of 42-31, the Marlins are 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are 4.5 games out of the division lead. Against the Blue Jays, they will be seeking their 6th straight win. On the road, they have a record of 20-18 while going 22-13 at home. Miami’s overall series record is 13-10.

• The Marlins have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.2.
• The Marlins have been favored in 45.2% of their games and have runline records of 16-19 and 20-18 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Marlins have an over/under record of just 33-37.

Pitching Matchup

 

Today will be Yusei Kikuchi’s 15th appearance this season, and he has an overall record of 6-2. His current ERA stands at 4.31 and OBP allowed of .314. So far, he struckout 71 batters and has a WHIP of 1.37. On the road, his ERA is 5.33 compared to 3.91 at home.

Yusei Kikuchi’s most recent outing saw him face the Orioles, where he allowed two runs and six hits in 4 2/3 innings of work. the Blue Jays ended up losing the game by a score of 4-2.

 

Starter Eury Pérez comes in with an overall record of 4-1 for the Marlins. Having made seven appearances, his ERA is 1.80 and he has a K/9 figure of 1.0. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.90 and an OBP of .259.

Miami is hoping that Eury Pérez can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Mariners (4-1) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with zero earned runs on two hits across six innings.

Blue Jays vs. Marlins Offense Outlook

This season, Toronto has been scoring an average of 4.5 runs per game, ranking them 12th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have hit 83 long balls, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their batting average of .262 ranks 5th in the league. On the road, the Blue Jays are 2nd in batting average, compared to 10th at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters vs. Righties

 

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

Through 73 games the Marlins are 21st in the league at 4.1 runs per game. In terms of home runs, Miami is 21st having gone deep 69 times. Their batting average leading up to today’s game is .260, including .244 on the road and .268 at home.

Miami Marlins Top Bats

 

Miami Marlins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

 

Free MLB Pick

The Toronto Blue Jays have scored two runs or less in four of their last five games. They’re also on a three game skid. Kikuchi is consistently poor when he pitches in the road over the course of his career with an ERA over 5.00.

While digging into his profile, I noticed an unusually high ERA in ballparks/cities with warmer climates. This included domes.

Tuesday’s game will be Toronto’s eighth straight game on the road. Fatigue could be in play.

Marlins starter Eury Perez has been flat-nasty as of late, allowing only one earned run over his last 21 innings. He’s only allowed one home run in his last 25.1 innings. The young 20-year-old right hander has a 0.56 ERA in June and a WHIP (Go here —> to see what WHIP is in baseball) of under 1.00! Right-handed hitters are batting just .183 against him and he’s equally tough on left-handed hitters at .194.

The Marlins are on a five game heater and have held opponents to a measly ten runs over that span.

At a betting line of -115, this is the most mispriced team I’ve seen all season. I’m betting the Fish with confidence!