Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Total Play

by | Last updated Aug 4, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox
Date: Friday, August 4th, 7:10 ET
Location: Fenway Park
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Blue Jays +135/Red Sox -161 (Get a 100% bonus with one of our promo codes!)
Total Line: 10

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Boston Red Sox and the Blue Jays on Friday, August 4th at Fenway Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TOR +135 +1.5 O 10 (-109)
BOS -161 -1.5 U 10 (-113)

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Whit Merrifield 1 RF
George Springer 2 LF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Matt Chapman 4 3B
Alejandro Kirk 5 C
Danny Jansen 6 DH
Paul DeJong 7 SS
Santiago Espinal 8 2B
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Alek Manoah SP

 

Batting Order Position
Jarren Duran 1 LF
Justin Turner 2 2B
Masataka Yoshida 3 DH
Rafael Devers 4 3B
Adam Duvall 5 CF
Triston Casas 6 1B
Alex Verdugo 7 RF
Connor Wong 8 C
Yu Chang 9 SS
James Paxton SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 60-50 SU / OU 45-61 / Runline 51-59
Boston Red Sox: 57-51 SU / OU 56-50 / Runline 57-51

So far this season, the Blue Jays have an overall record of 60-50, putting them 3rd in the AL East. Currently, they are 7.5 games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 30-26 and 30-24 at home. The team’s series record is 21-12.

 

  • The Blue Jays have covered the runline in 46.4% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 71.8% of their games and have runline records of 23-31 and 28-28 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 45-61.

With an overall record of 57-51, the Red Sox are in 4th place in the AL East, trailing by 9.5 games. Over their last ten games, they are above .500 at 6-4. On the road, the Red Sox have a mark of 27-28 while going 30-23 at home. Their overall series mark stands at 18-13-3.

 

  • The Red Sox have covered the runline in 52.8% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.4
  • The Red Sox have been favored in 45.4% of their games and have runline records of 28-25 and 29-26 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Red Sox’s 108 games at 56-50.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Alek Manoah 17 17 76 2-8 5.87 1.79 13


Starter Alek Manoah comes in with an overall record of 2-8 for the Blue Jays. Having made 17 appearances, his ERA is 5.87 and he has a K/9 figure of 7.98. Additionally, he has a FIP of 6.13 and an OBP of .374.

Giving up one run and four hits during his last appearance against the Angels, Alek Manoah did not factor into the decision. Yet, the Blue Jays managed to win the game by a score of 6-1.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
James Paxton 13 13 70 6-2 3.34 1.07 9


Boston starter James Paxton enters with an overall record of 6-2 and ERA of 3.34. His ERA on the road is 5.67 and 2.28 when pitching at home. Paxton’s season-long WHIP comes in at 1.07 with a batting average allowed of .211. Opposing teams have put together a slugging percentage of .356 against him.

James Paxton’s most recent outing saw him face the Giants, where he allowed one run and eight hits in five innings of work. the Red Sox ended up losing the game by a score of 3-2.

Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Offense Outlook

The Blue Jays have played 110 games and currently hold the 14th spot in the league with an average of 4.5 runs per game. With 126 home runs, Toronto is 15th in the league. The team’s batting average, including .253 on the road and .250 at home, is .258.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Bo Bichette .332 8 .504 .374
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .292 12 .502 .370
Whit Merrifield .318 6 .469 .356
Matt Chapman .275 8 .485 .370
Daulton Varsho .245 9 .430 .312


Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Brandon Belt .292 4 3 1 .625
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .150 3 1 0 .150
Whit Merrifield .180 4 1 1 .300
Danny Jansen .062 1 1 1 .250
Matt Chapman .100 2 1 0 .150


This season, Boston is ranked 8th in the league in terms of runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. Although they are not at the top of the league in home runs, they have hit 121 long balls so far. The team’s batting average stands at .263, which ranks 4th in the league. On the road, their batting average is 21st compared to 1st at home.

Boston Red Sox Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Red Sox 109 5 (8th) 121 (18th) .263 (4th) .330 (6th) .330 (6th)


Boston Red Sox Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Jarren Duran .300 4 4 1 .662
Alex Verdugo .271 4 1 1 .458
Justin Turner .150 2 1 1 .350
Adam Duvall .083 1 2 1 .333
Rafael Devers .312 5 1 0 .375


Free MLB Pick

The Jays starter Alek Manoah continues to walk a lot of batters and throw a lot of pitches per innings pitched. He did look a bit better in his last two, allowing one run against LAA and three against Sea. The Bosox starter James Paxton has looked better as of late, holding his opponent to two or fewer runs in four of his last five starts. Included in that was a nice 7 2/3 shut-out innings against the Jays on June 30th. This series has all about the Over with nine of the past ten going over the closing total line., but I’m going in the other direction here. Toronto has scored a total of nine runs in the past four games and Boston has exceeded three runs in only one game of their last five. Take the Under 10 -105.

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