Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays Prediction

by | Last updated May 22, 2023 | mlb

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Date: Monday, May 22nd, 6:40 ET
Location: Tropicana Field
TV: BSSUN
Money Line: Blue Jays +102/Rays -121 (Make sure you’re taking advantage of reduced juice!)
Total Line: 8.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Blue Jays on Monday, May 22nd at Tropicana Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
TOR +102 +1.5 O 8.5 (-109)
TB -121 -1.5 U 8.5 (-112)

Blue Jays vs. Rays Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 CF
Bo Bichette 2 SS
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3 1B
Daulton Varsho 4 RF
Matt Chapman 5 3B
Whit Merrifield 6 2B
Brandon Belt 7 1B
Danny Jansen 8 C
Kevin Kiermaier 9 CF
Chris Bassitt SP

 

Batting Order Position
Yandy Díaz 1 1B
Wander Franco 2 SS
Randy Arozarena 3 LF
Brandon Lowe 4 2B
Harold Ramírez 5 DH
Isaac Paredes 6 3B
Josh Lowe 7 CF
Christian Bethancourt 8 C
Jose Siri 9 CF
Trevor Kelley RP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Toronto Blue Jays: 25-22 SU / OU 22-23 / Runline 22-25
Tampa Bay Rays: 34-14 SU / OU 27-18 / Runline 28-20

If the Blue Jays are going to climb out of last place in the AL East, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Rays. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays have lost four straight games and stand with an overall record of 25-22. On the road, the Blue Jays are 12-13 and 13-9 at home. The team’s overall series record is 9-5.

 

  • The Blue Jays have four straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.1.
  • The Blue Jays have been favored in 72.3% of their games and have runline records of 9-13 and 13-12 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Blue Jays have an over/under record of just 22-23.

Even though the Rays are in first place in the AL East, they have gone just 2-3 over their last five games. Tampa Bay’s overall record currently sits at 34-14, including going 13-10 on the road and 21-4 at home. Their series record stands at 9-4.

 

  • The Rays have covered the runline in 58.3% of their games and have an average run margin of 2.6
  • The Rays have been favored in 87.5% of their games and have runline records of 15-10 and 13-10 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 60% of the Rays’ 48 games at 27-18.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Chris Bassitt 9 9 56 5-2 3.05 1.00 6

 

Chris Bassitt heads into the game with an overall record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.05. In his four appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 6.82 and record of 3-1. At home, he has put together a mark of 2-1 and ERA of 2.61. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.00, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .170. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .304.

During Chris Bassitt’s last outing, he finished with a quality start, allowing zero runs on three hits over seven innings. Although he did not factor into the decision, the team was able to secure a 3-0 victory over the Yankees.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Trevor Kelley 4 1 6 0-1 7.50 1.33 2

 

With an overall record of 0-1, the Rays will give Trevor Kelley the start. His ERA stands at 7.50 with a K/9 figure of 0.3 after making four appearances. Additionally, he has a FIP of 8.46 and an OBP of .333.

In his last outing, Trevor Kelley allowed zero runs in just one inning of work, resulting in a no-decision. The Rays took the 3-2 loss against the Mets.

Blue Jays vs. Rays Offense Outlook

This season, Toronto is ranked 13th in the league in runs scored at 4.6 runs per contest. So far, they are near the middle of the pack in home runs, hitting a combined 50 long balls. The team’s current batting average of .257 is 11th in the league. On the road, they are 7th in batting average compared to 9th at home.

Toronto Blue Jays Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Bo Bichette .320 .362 .505 30 9 1
Matt Chapman .301 .381 .514 24 6 1
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. .294 .366 .482 27 7 2

 

Toronto Blue Jays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
George Springer .330 7 3 1 .530
Danny Jansen .240 5 2 2 .510
Bo Bichette .310 7 1 1 .460
Brandon Belt .317 4 1 0 .467
Whit Merrifield .347 4 3 0 .347

 

So far this season, the Rays are one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, having hit a total of 91 home runs (1st). Overall, Tampa Bay is averaging 6.0 runs per contest and have a collective batting average of .271. At home, the Rays have a slugging percentage of .500 compared to .482 at home.

Tampa Bay Rays Top Bats

BA OBP SLG RBI HR SB
Randy Arozarena .304 .403 .530 36 10 5
Wander Franco .277 .340 .473 23 7 14
Yandy Díaz .329 .429 .611 27 11 0

 

Tampa Bay Rays Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Josh Lowe .380 8 4 2 .770
Randy Arozarena .183 3 3 0 .250
Harold Ramírez .367 4 3 1 .583
Brandon Lowe .240 4 2 1 .507
Taylor Walls .140 2 3 0 .240

 

Free MLB Pick

The Jays have the big edge in starting pitching tonight and while their scoring has not been up to par, they have racked up 30 hits in their last three games. Take the Jays +105. Football betting is on the horizon! Get the max bang for your buck by making sure you’re getting a free half point everytime you bet your favorite football team!

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