Twins vs. Angels Top Pick

by | Last updated May 20, 2023 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
Date: Saturday, May 20th, 10:07 ET
Location: Angel Stadium of Anaheim
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Twins +104/Angels -124
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Los Angeles Angels and the Twins on Saturday, May 20th at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
MIN +104 +1.5 O 9 (100)
LAA -124 -1.5 U 9 (-121)

Twins vs. Angels Projected Lineup

Batting Order Position
Byron Buxton 1 DH
Donovan Solano 2 SS
Carlos Correa 3 SS
Kyle Farmer 4 SS
Jorge Polanco 5 2B
Ryan Jeffers 6 C
Willi Castro 7 SS
Trevor Larnach 8 RF
Michael A. Taylor 9 CF
Louie Varland SP


Batting Order Position
Taylor Ward 1 RF
Mike Trout 2 CF
Shohei Ohtani 3 DH
Hunter Renfroe 4 RF
Brandon Drury 5 3B
Gio Urshela 6 3B
Luis Rengifo 7 2B
Matt Thaiss 8 C
Zach Neto 9 SS
Patrick Sandoval SP


Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Minnesota Twins: 24-21 SU / OU 20-21 / Runline 25-20
Los Angeles Angels: 24-22 SU / OU 24-21 / Runline 23-23

Against the Angels, the Twins are looking to shake a two two game losing streak. Yet, their record of 24-21 is stil good for 1st in the AL Central. At home, Minnesota has gone 14-8 and 10-13 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 7-6.

  • The Twins have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 0.9.
  • The Twins have been favored in 66.7% of their games and have runline records of 12-10 and 13-10 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Twins have an over/under record of just 20-21.

On a record of 24-22, the Angels are 3rd in the AL West. Currently, they are four games out of the division lead. Against the Twins, they will be seeking their 3rd straight win. On the road, they have a record of 13-13 while going 11-9 at home. Los Angeles’ overall series record is 6-7.

  • The Angels have covered the runline in two straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.2.
  • The Angels have been favored in 58.7% of their games and have runline records of 8-12 and 15-11 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 53% of the Angels’ 46 games at 24-21.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Louie Varland 4 4 23 1-0 4.30 1.22 6

Louie Varland heads into the game with an overall record of 1-0 and an ERA of 4.30. In his two appearances on the road, he has an ERA of 6.11 and record of 0-0. At home, he has put together a mark of 1-0 and ERA of 2.88. His season-long WHIP stands at 1.22, accompanied by a batting average allowed of .244. Teams facing him have amassed a slugging percentage of .467.

Minnesota is hoping that Louie Varland can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Cubs (16-3) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with three earned runs on four hits across 6 1/3 innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Patrick Sandoval 8 8 44 3-2 3.22 1.16 3

Patrick Sandoval has an overall record of 3-2, and will get the start for the Angels. With eight appearances, his ERA currently stands at 3.22, while his K/9 figure is 0.7. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.99 and an OBP of .284.

Even though Sandoval finished with a quality start in his most recent outing, the Angels still lost to the Guardians by a score of 4-3. For the game, he allowed five hits, leading to two earned runs. This statline came across 7 2/3 innings.

Twins vs. Angels Offense Outlook

This season, the Twins are one of the top power hitting lineups in the league, with 61 home runs (7th). This has led to an average of 4.7 runs per game and a collective batting average of .230. At home, their slugging percentage is .443, compared to .348 on the road.

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters On The Road

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Carlos Correa .193 4 .375 .288
Byron Buxton .224 2 .395 .338
Christian Vázquez .283 0 .321 .296
Trevor Larnach .200 3 .385 .282
Jose Miranda .171 0 .200 .198

Minnesota Twins Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Byron Buxton .363 8 7 1 .647
Kyle Farmer .360 8 4 1 .550
Trevor Larnach .140 3 4 2 .460
Jorge Polanco .478 5 4 1 .911
Willi Castro .240 5 2 1 .390

For the season, the Angels are one of the top home runs hitting teams in the league with a total of 59 home runs (8th). So far, Los Angeles is averaging 5.1 runs per game with a collective batting average of .262. When playing at home, the Angels have a slugging percentage of .380 compared to .452 at home.

Los Angeles Angels Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Shohei Ohtani .298 8 .573 .396
Mike Trout .268 9 .553 .388
Taylor Ward .252 3 .358 .304
Gio Urshela .270 1 .322 .277
Hunter Renfroe .231 8 .485 .336

Los Angeles Angels Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Mike Trout .308 5 3 2 .746
Shohei Ohtani .240 6 4 2 .560
Gio Urshela .417 7 1 0 .517
Hunter Renfroe .280 6 2 0 .360
Mickey Moniak .354 5 1 1 .791

Free MLB Pick

Louie Varland has been quite impressive this season, recording three quality starts in four outings. He has consistently given his team the opportunity to win in each of those games. However, it’s worth noting that Varland has shown a vulnerability to giving up home runs, allowing six so far this season and four in 2022. That’s ten given up in 49 total innings pitched. The Los Angeles Angels, who are known for their power-hitting abilities, rank eighth in home runs and tenth in on-base plus slugging percentage (OPS) among all teams.

On the other side, the Angels are putting left-handed pitcher Patrick Sandoval on the mound. Sandoval has had success against the Minnesota Twins lineup, although the sample size is relatively small. In 39 at-bats, he has held them to a low batting average of .128, with just one extra-base hit. While Sandoval may not always pitch deep into games, his inning count per start has been increasing, with three of his last four starts going for 6 1/3 innings or more.

When looking at the overall statistics, the Angels have the advantage in terms of their starting pitcher, bullpen, and some key offensive metrics. Additionally, being at home, with a small number, doesn’t hurt. Take Los Angeles -120. Bet your MLB picks for FREE all weekend by taking advantate of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you use bonus promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook! This is a REAL cash bonus, not a crappy match play like most other bookies offer!

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