Twins vs. Blue Jays ML Pick 6/4/22

by | Last updated Jun 4, 2022 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Saturday, June 4th, 03:07 ET

Location: Rogers Centre

TV: Bally Sports North

Money Line: Twins 130 / Blue Jays -155

Total Line: 9.0

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Minnesota: Dylan Bundy (3-2, 4.76)
Toronto: José Berríos (3-2, 5.62)

Twins Projected Lineup

Gio Urshela 3B
Ryan Jeffers C
Gary Sánchez C
Trevor Larnach RF
Max Kepler RF
Jermaine Palacios SS
Jorge Polanco 2B
Byron Buxton CF
Luis Arraez 1B
Dylan Bundy P

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Danny Jansen C
Alejandro Kirk C
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Teoscar Hernández RF
Santiago Espinal 2B
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
George Springer OF
Bo Bichette SS
José Berríos P


Minnesota Twins: 31-23-0 SU / OU 24-27-3 / Run Line W/L 24-30-0
Toronto Blue Jays: 30-21-0 SU / OU 23-27-1 / Run Line W/L 22-29-0

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Minnesota Twins on Saturday, June 4th at Rogers Centre. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 03:07 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-155), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

The Minnesota Twins will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the Blue Jays by a score of 9-3. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 3 runs on 4 hits. The Twins lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 12 hits, leading to 9 runs. Minnesota picked up the win, despite getting 195.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Twins and Blue Jays combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 9.5 runs. Even with this game going over the total, Minnesota still has an over-under record of just 24-27-3.

The Twins will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 2-3 over their last 5 games. However, they have still put together a positive run differential of +2 (last 5). Minnesota’s offense is in the middle of a cold streak, as their offensive production has dipped to just 3.8 runs per game over their last 5 contests. So far, Minnesota has won over half of their 17 series played, going 9-4-4.

Toronto will look to move on from a 6 runs loss to the Twins, falling by the score of 9-3. Toronto’s pitching staff gave up 12 hits, leading to 9 runs for the Twins. The Blue Jays’ offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 4 hits. Leading into the game, Toronto was the betting favorite at -240.0. So far, the team has won 64.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Blue Jays and Twins combined to surpass the line of 9.5 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 23-27-1.

In their last 5 games, the Blue Jays have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +5. Overall, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.10 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 7.0 runs per contest. On the season, Toronto has won more than half of their series, going 10-5-2.

Pitching Matchup

Minnesota will roll with Dylan Bundy (3-2) as their starter. So far, Bundy has put together an ERA of 4.76. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.9 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.273. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Bundy, averaging 1.38 homers per 9 innings pitched. Bundy is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 4.25 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 20.0%. Throughout the season, Bundy has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.82 per contest.

Toronto will roll with José Berríos (3-2) as their starter. So far, Berríos has put together an ERA of 5.62. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.92 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.296. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Berríos, averaging 1.65 homers per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Berríos has a strikeout percentage of just 16.0% and a per game average of 3.6. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.54 walks per contest.

Minnesota vs Toronto History

For the season, the Minnesota Twins and Toronto Blue Jays will be playing their 2nd game of the season. So far, Minnesota is leading the season series, 1-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-0. The average run total in these games is 7.57 runs per game. The average scoring margin in these meetings is 6.0 runs. Dating back to last season, the Toronto picked up 4 wins compared to 3, taking the season series. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 1-6. Last year, the Twins and Blue Jays averaged 7.57 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.57 runs per game.

Get our Chisox at Rays betting opinion on their 6/4/22 game >>>

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 7 games when playing Toronto
  • Minnesota is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Toronto
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto’s last 5 games
  • Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Both Dylan Bundy and Jose Berrios will enter today’s matchup, hoping to rebound from tough last outings. Against the Tigers, Bundy gave up 4 runs on 9 hits. On the other side, Berrios allowed 2 home runs to the Angels, leading to 5 earned runs across just 2 1/3 innings. Even though they are the betting underdog, I like the Twins to pull off the upset win.

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