Twins vs. Diamondbacks Best Bet 6/17/22

by | Jun 17, 2022 | mlb

Minnesota Twins (37-28) vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (30-35)
When: 9:40 p.m., Friday, June 17
Where: Chase Field, Phoenix
Moneyline: MIN -135/ARI +115 (Get the best lines >>>)
Runline: Twins -1.5/Diamondbacks +1.5
Total: 9

Starting Pitchers: Devin Smeltzer (3-0, 2.38 ERA, 0.97 WHIP) vs. Madison Bumgarner (2-6, 3.50 ERA, 1.29 WHIP)

Snakes Without Bite

When it comes to their work at the plate, the Diamondbacks frankly leave a lot to be desired. Arizona actually hits a little bit better against left-handers than it does against righties, but a .223 batting average that ranks fourth-worst in the majors against left-handed pitching doesn’t exactly inspire much confidence.
Yet Arizona isn’t completely helpless at the plate; the Diamondbacks rank ninth in the majors in home runs, and they’ve driven in 246 runs for the year. The latter isn’t impressive, but it also isn’t horrible, especially for a team that doesn’t get a lot of hits. So what’s up with that number? Simple: the other thing that Arizona does well is to wait out opposing pitchers. In fact, the entire NL West is incredibly patient at the plate, as the Diamondbacks rank tied for fourth in the majors and tied for third in their own division in walks (Seattle is the only non-NL West team in the top five in walks).
In this game, that might not help much, as Devin Smeltzer isn’t known to give up a lot of free passes. However, there’s one reason for optimism from Arizona: Smeltzer has given up five earned runs in June, and all of them have come via home runs. If the Diamondbacks can get the ball out of the park, they’ve got a good chance to put up runs.

Minnesota Yo-Yo

For whatever reason, the Twins just haven’t managed to build any kind of momentum in the month of June. For the month, they’ve gone 7-7 and never had a streak of longer than two games in either direction. Other than winning consecutive games against Tampa Bay, the Twins have alternated between win and loss for the past two weeks, which has left them treading water in the AL Central.
The good news is that in their weak division, treading water is really all the Twins have to do. Besides Minnesota, only Cleveland has a winning record in the AL Central, and the Twins have plenty of opportunities against lesser opponents to get things moving in the right direction. However, they’re not going to get things rolling if the offense doesn’t get a little more consistent. Minnesota has been a feast-or-famine team all year in terms of Overs and Unders, and the Twins are currently on an under string of four straight games. Before that, Minnesota played out eight straight overs, so the pendulum is eventually going to swing back in the other direction. But with Smeltzer throwing well and Madison Bumgarner on the mound as his opponent, this might not be the game where the pendulum swings just yet.

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Running In Place

Madison Bumgarner has to feel like it doesn’t really matter what he does anymore because the Diamondbacks aren’t going to provide him with the help he needs to start avoiding the loss. June has been the same story every time out: Bumgarner scatters a few hits and pitches well enough to win in two out of three contests this month. Yet he takes the loss because the Diamondbacks don’t give him anything at the dish.
At this stage of his career, you pretty much know what you’re going to get from Bumgarner. He’s going to give you five to six solid innings and give up one or two runs. If that’s good enough for the offense, you’re going to win quite a few games. If the offense can’t work with that, you’re in big trouble. Given that Bumgarner is 2-6, the Diamondbacks have leaned toward the latter.
Betting Trends

  • The Twins have won six straight Friday games.
  • The Twins are 6-2 in their past eight games against the NL West.
  • The Diamondbacks are 7-18 in their past 25 games after an off day.
  • The Diamondbacks are 3-7 in their last ten home games.
  • The under is 6-0 in the Twins’ past six games against a team with a losing record.
  • The under is 5-1-1 in the Twins’ past seven games against a left-handed starter.
  • The under is 5-1 in the Diamondbacks’ past six games as a home underdog.
  • The under is 13-3-1 in the Diamondbacks’ past 17 home games against a team above .500.
  • The Twins have won five straight matchups with the Diamondbacks
  • The over is 6-2-1 in the past nine meetings in Arizona.

Weather Report

With temperatures projected to hit 111 degrees at the first pitch in Phoenix, it should surprise absolutely nobody that the Diamondbacks will keep the roof closed at Chase Field.

Dan’s Pick to Win

I’m tempted to take Arizona on the pitching matchup, but the Diamondbacks haven’t scored even one run for Bumgarner in his past three starts. The best bet for my money is the Under, and the price isn’t too bad on the Twins for how poor the Diamondbacks’ hitting has been as of late.
It breaks the pattern of win-loss, but that has to end at some point. I’ll back the Twins. Bet your Twins vs. Diamondbacks prediction and ALL your baseball bets for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 when you use bonus code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!

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