Twins vs. Mariners Total Bet 6/14/22

by | Jun 14, 2022 | mlb

Minnesota Twins vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Tuesday, June 14th, 10:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
TV: Bally Sports North
Money Line: Twins -105 / Mariners -115 (SportsBetting.ag)
Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Minnesota: Joe Ryan (5-2, 2.28)
Seattle: Logan Gilbert (6-2, 2.54)

Twins Projected Lineup

Gio Urshela 3B
Trevor Larnach LF
Max Kepler RF
Gary Sánchez C
Jose Miranda 1B
Carlos Correa SS
Jorge Polanco 2B
Luis Arraez 2B
Byron Buxton CF
Joe Ryan P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Abraham Toro 3B
Taylor Trammell RF
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Adam Frazier 2B
Cal Raleigh C
Julio Rodriguez CF
J.P. Crawford SS
Jesse Winker LF
Ty France 1B
Logan Gilbert P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Minnesota Twins: 36-27-0 SU / OU 30-29-4 / Run Line W/L 29-34-0
Seattle Mariners: 27-34-0 SU / OU 31-29-1 / Run Line W/L 30-31-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday, June 14th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Minnesota Twins head into today’s matchup after picking up a close win over the Mariners by the score of 3-2. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 2 runs on 6 hits. The team was able to pick up the win despite scoring just 3 runs on their 9 hits. Heading into their last game, Minnesota was the betting favorite at -105.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 42 of their games, winning at a rate of 64.0%. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. Minnesota games have still surpassed the over-under line more than half of the time, at 30-29-4.

In the Twins’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. Despite their recent success, their last 5 run margin comes in at -2. Offensively, the team has put up 25 runs in their last 5 games. Minnesota’s season average comes in at 4.46 (13th). So far, Minnesota has won over half of their 20 series played, going 11-5-4.

The Mariners are coming off a tight loss to the Twins, dropping the game 3-2. For the game, the pitching staff held the Twins to 3 runs on 9 hits. The Mariners’ offense ended the game with just 2 runs on 6 hits. Seattle dropped the game despite being favored at -115.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 26 games, winning at a rate of 50.0%. Combined, the Mariners and Twins’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. Even still, Seattle games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 31-29-1.

In their last 5 contests, the Mariners have just 2 wins, going 2-3. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of 0 over their last 5 games. Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 3.6 runs per game. This is right in line with their season average of 4.07. Seattle has a below .500 series record of just 8-11-1.

Pitching Matchup

Joe Ryan gets the start for the Twins, with an overall record of 5-2. Currently, Ryan has an ERA of just 2.28 while pitching an average of 5.39 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.186 against him. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.63 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Up to this point, Ryan has a strikeout percentage of just 24.0% and a per game average of 5.25. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.91 walks per contest.

Logan Gilbert gets the start for the Mariners, with an overall record of 6-2. Through 12 appearances, Gilbert has an ERA of just 2.54 while averaging 5.92 innings per appearance. Overall, opponents have a batting average of just 0.211 against the right-hander. Not only does Gilbert have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.63 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Per game, Logan Gilbert is averaging 5.83, on a strikeout percentage of 24.0%. Gilbert comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 2.79 free passes per outing.

Minnesota vs Seattle History

For the season, the Minnesota Twins and Seattle Mariners will be playing their 6th game of the season. Minnesota has the lead in the series at 3-2. Through 5 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-4, with the average run total sitting at 9.83 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.6 runs. Seattle won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 4 wins to 2. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 4-2. Last year, the Twins and Mariners averaged 9.83 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.5 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games when playing Seattle
  • Minnesota is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Seattle
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Seattle’s last 8 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Tuesday’s American League matchup between Minnesota and Seattle, look for runs to be hard to come by with Joe Ryan and Logan Gilbert on the mound. So far, Joe Ryan has given up 2 or fewer runs in 7 of his 8 starts. On the other side, Gilbert has an impressive WHIP of just 1.08. Even with the run total set at 7.5, I recommend taking the under.

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