Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Game Pick

by | Last updated May 5, 2023 | mlb

Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Friday, May 5th, 9:40 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: MLBN
Money Line: Nationals +156/Diamondbacks -190 (Do you live bet? If so, you gotta check out the platform at Bovada Sportsbook! It’s the BEST!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Nationals on Friday, May 5th at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
WSH +156 +1.5 O 9 (100)
ARI -190 -1.5 U 9 (-120)

Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Alex Call 1 CF
Luis García 2 2B
Keibert Ruiz 3 C
Joey Meneses 4 1B
Jeimer Candelario 5 3B
Dominic Smith 6 1B
Lane Thomas 7 RF
CJ Abrams 8 SS
Victor Robles 9 CF
Josiah Gray SP

 

Batting Order Position
Josh Rojas 1 3B
Ketel Marte 2 2B
Corbin Carroll 3 CF
Christian Walker 4 1B
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. 5 LF
Pavin Smith 6 RF
Gabriel Moreno 7 C
Alek Thomas 8 CF
Geraldo Perdomo 9 SS
Merrill Kelly SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Washington Nationals: 13-18 SU / OU 13-17 / Runline 19-12
Arizona Diamondbacks: 17-14 SU / OU 16-13 / Runline 18-13

As they take on the Diamondbacks, the Nationals have an overall record of 13-18 and are currently last in the NL East. However, they have rattled of three straight wins. At home, Washington has a mark of 6-12 compared to 7-6 on the road. Their series record sits at 2-6.

 

  • The Nationals have covered the runline in three straight games and have a season-long run margin of -0.8.
  • The Nationals have been favored in 0.0% of their games and have runline records of 8-10 and 11-2 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Nationals have an over/under record of just 13-17.

So far this season, the Diamondbacks have an overall record of 17-14, putting them 2nd in the NL West. Currently, they are 1.5 games out in the division. Across their last ten games, they are an even 5-5. On the road, they have gone 9-8 and 8-6 at home. The team’s series record is 5-2.

 

  • The Diamondbacks have covered the runline in 58.1% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.3
  • The Diamondbacks have been favored in 25.8% of their games and have runline records of 7-7 and 11-6 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 55% of the Diamondbacks’ 31 games at 16-13.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Josiah Gray 6 6 33 2-4 2.67 1.25 4

The Nationals will turn to starter Josiah Gray who has an overall record of 2-4. After six appearances, his ERA is 2.67 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.9. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 4.39 and an OBP of .310.

The last time Josiah Gray took to the mound, he secured a quality start and a win for his team, who won by a final score of 7-2 against the Pirates. Gray gave up one run and three hits across six innings.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Merrill Kelly 6 6 32 2-3 3.06 1.30 2

Starter Merrill Kelly comes in with an overall record of 2-3 for the Diamondbacks. Having made six appearances, his ERA is 3.06 and he has a K/9 figure of 0.9. Additionally, he has a FIP of 4.15 and an OBP of .333.

A quality start and a win were added to Merrill Kelly’s record in his previous outing against the Rockies. The Diamondbacks went on to win by a score of 9-1. Kelly allowed one run and six hits during six innings.

Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook

This season, the Nationals are ranked 28th in the league with an average of 3.7 runs per game. Washington is ranked 29th in home runs, with a total of 18 long balls. Their overall batting average is .251, including .243 on the road and .243 at home.

Washington Nationals Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Nationals 31 3.7 (28th) 18 (29th) .251 (14th) .314 (20th) .314 (20th)

 

Washington Nationals Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Lane Thomas .333 5 4 2 .866
Victor Robles .500 6 2 0 .550
CJ Abrams .383 6 3 0 .433
Alex Call .140 3 1 1 .340
Luis García .190 4 1 0 .240

At 5.2 runs per game, Arizona is ranked 8th in the league in terms of runs scored this season. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 31 times so far. The team’s batting average of .265 places them 5th in the league. When playing on the road, their batting average is ranked 9th compared to 3rd at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters vs. Righties

Player BA HR SLG WOBA
Geraldo Perdomo .407 2 .667 .486
Josh Rojas .297 0 .405 .316
Corbin Carroll .286 3 .543 .390
Christian Walker .253 3 .427 .307
Ketel Marte .265 3 .485 .325

 

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Christian Walker .380 9 7 4 .960
Ketel Marte .312 4 4 3 1.000
Geraldo Perdomo .520 8 4 1 .740
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. .283 5 4 1 .533
Josh Rojas .308 4 3 0 .483

 

Free MLB Pick

The Nationals enter this game with a positive road record and are coming off a solid sweep of the Cubs. Their starting pitcher, Joshua Gray, has been pitching like an ace as of late, allowing two or fewer runs in each of his last five starts. It’s worth noting that Gray has only faced the Diamondbacks once before, but he had a good outing, going 5 1/3 innings while allowing just one run.

Considering these factors, I believe that the Nationals present a great value play in this game. They are currently being offered at +162, which is a very attractive price given their recent form and the solid pitching of Joshua Gray. Take Washington +162. Bankroll running low? Instead of getting NOTHING on your next re-deposit, consider grabbing a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 when you use bonus promo code PREDICTEM at Everygame Sportsbook! Note: After your deposit, you need to go directly to their special offers page and enter bonus code PREDICTEM.

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