Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Pick 6/11/23

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Sunday, June 11th, 1:35 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: BSSE
Money Line: Nationals +224/Braves -275
Total Line: 10

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Nationals on Sunday, June 11th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Nationals vs. Braves Projected Lineup

	Batting Order	Position
Lane Thomas	1	RF
Luis García	2	2B
Jeimer Candelario	3	3B
Joey Meneses	4	DH
Dominic Smith	5	1B
Corey Dickerson	6	LF
Keibert Ruiz	7	C
CJ Abrams	8	SS
Alex Call	9	CF
Trevor Williams	–	RP




	Batting Order	Position
Ronald Acuña Jr.	1	RF
Matt Olson	2	1B
Austin Riley	3	3B
Sean Murphy	4	C
Eddie Rosario	5	LF
Ozzie Albies	6	2B
Marcell Ozuna	7	DH
Orlando Arcia	8	2B
Michael Harris II	9	CF
Bryce Elder	–	SP




Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Washington Nationals: 25-38 SU / OU 30-31 / Runline 37-26
Atlanta Braves: 40-24 SU / OU 35-25 / Runline 30-34

If the Nationals are going to climb out of last place in the NL East, they will need to turn things around with a win over the Braves. Heading into the game, the Nationals have lost six straight games and stand with an overall record of 25-38. On the road, the Nationals are 13-17 and 12-21 at home. The team’s overall series record is 6-12-2.

• The Nationals have covered the runline in 58.7% of their games and have an average run margin of -0.8
• The Nationals have been favored in 4.8% of their games and have runline records of 15-18 and 22-8 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Nationals have an over/under record of just 30-31.

The Braves take on the Nationals in the middle of a seven game winning streak and are leading the NL East on an overall record of 40-24. So far, they are 20-10 on the road and 20-14 at home. Atlanta’s overall series record stands at 13-5-2.

• The Braves have covered the runline in 46.9% of their games and have an average run margin of 1.1
• The Braves have been favored in 84.4% of their games and have runline records of 12-22 and 18-12 at home and on the road, respectively
• The over has hit in 58% of the Braves’ 64 games at 35-25.

Pitching Matchup




Across his 12 outings, Trevor Williams has a record of 2-4 and ERA of 4.15. One thing to note, is that he has given up a home run in each of his last four appearances. As he takes the mound, his WHIP sits at 1.33 with an OBP allowed of .312. Williams’ strikeout to walk ratio is 46/20.

Having allowed four runs on six hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Phillies, Trevor Williams is coming off a game that resulted in a loss for the Nationals.




The Braves will turn to starter Bryce Elder who has an overall record of 4-0. Through 12 appearances his ERA stands at 2.26 with a K/9 figure of 0.9. So far, he has put together of FIP of 3.63 to go along with an OBP of .295.

Elder picked up the win in his most recent outing, as he gave up four earned runs and four hits across six innings vs. the Mets. The Braves won the game by a score of 6-4.

Nationals vs. Braves Offense Outlook

With 49 home runs, Washington ranks just 23rd in terms of total home runs. Their batting average is 4th in the league at .262. The team’s OPS of .712 comes in ranked 18th in the league.

Washington Nationals Top Bats




Washington Nationals Top Hitters: Last Five Games




The Braves have proven to be one of the best home run hitting teams this season, having hit 107 home runs (2nd). In terms of overall run production, Atlanta is averaging 5.2 runs per game on a collective batting average of .264. At home, their slugging percentage is .448 compared to .450 on the road.

Atlanta Braves Team Hitting Stats




Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games




Free MLB Pick

The Nats have lost six consecutive games and nine out of their last 11. In contrast, the Braves are riding a seven-game win streak winning all but one of the games but multiple runs. The starting pitching edge goes to the Braves, with Bryce Elder stringing together four straight quality starts. Washington starter Trevor Williams has been okay this season and does have acceptable historical numbers versus the (.241 BA average), but Atlanta has a quality offense firing on all cylinders right now. The Moneyline for this game is crazy high, and the run line even comes with a price, but I”m biting. The Braves may only need to score four runs to get the money. Take Atlanta -1.5 -130