White Sox vs. Brewers Pick 7/25/21

by | Jul 25, 2021 | mlb

Chicago White Sox (58-40) vs. Milwaukee Brewers (58-41)

When: 8:10 p.m., Saturday, July 25

Where: American Family Field, Milwaukee

Moneyline: CHW +125/MIL -135

Runline: White Sox +1.5/Brewers -1.5

Total: 7

Starting Pitchers: Lance Lynn (9-3, 1.94 ERA, 1.02 WHIP) vs. Brandon Woodruff (7-4, 2.04 ERA, 0.83 WHIP)

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Under the Bar

Seven runs is a low total, but with these two pitchers, there’s a chance that it’s a bit optimistic in this case. Woodruff has been nothing short of outstanding at home this season, giving up no more than two runs in a game in Milwaukee ever since his first start of the season. Incredibly, that actually gives him a slightly worse ERA at home than on the road, as he’s pitching 1.96 at home while seeing his ERA rise to 2.14 at home.

On the other side, Lance Lynn has been just as effective. In his past four starts, he’s allowed a run or less. But there is cause for concern on his side of the ledger, as the White Sox haven’t exactly given him much support as of late. Over his past five starts, Chicago is just 5-5, with four of those losses coming in games where the Sox only plated two runs. While that’s usually enough for Lynn to do the job, the White Sox haven’t exactly picked up the slack from the bullpen, leaving him with several no-decisions.

Pressure Vs. No Pressure

This series has been a battle of two teams in opposite situations, and so far, the team that’s needed to get the wins has done the job well. Milwaukee has won the first two games by a 13-2 count, and the Brewers have held their cushion steady at 6.5 games over Cincinnati. Milwaukee does have a bit of room for error, but the Brewers also have the chance to put their rivals in the rearview mirror if they can get on a winning streak.

Chicago, on the other hand, doesn’t really have anything to worry about from its rivals. The closest team to the White Sox right now is the soon-to-be Guardians, with the Tigers and everyone else in the AL Central sitting 12 games or more behind the Pale Hose. Chicago doesn’t have to worry about a tight race, but the White Sox have looked like a complacent team over the past few games, as a young squad starts to realize that it will almost certainly be in the playoffs no matter what it does. However, that’s really not ideal with a team like this, as the White Sox aren’t old enough to have the experience needed to step on their rivals’ throats.

Consistently Inconsistent

Trying to figure out the Brewers lately has been a manner of looking at what they’ve done each series and then picking that to continue. Over their past ten games, the Brewers have beaten the White Sox twice, lost twice to the Royals, taking three from the Reds and losing three from the Reds, leaving them with a 5-5 record over the past ten games. Milwaukee has seemed to be the prototypical team that plays to its competition this season, as the Brewers have scored six runs or more in each of their past five games against teams with a winning record, but when Kansas City came to town, the bats slumped, and the Brewers ended up scoring five runs in the two-game series.

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Betting Trends

  • The White Sox have won six of their past eight Sunday games.
  • The White Sox are 5-2 in their past seven road games.
  • The Brewers are 9-2 in their past 11 Sunday games.
  • The Brewers are 37-18 in their past 55 games overall.
  • The over is 3-0-2 in the White Sox’s past five road games.
  • The under is 7-2-3 in the White Sox’s last 12 interleague games.
  • The under is 6-0-2 in the Brewers’ past eight games as a home favorite.
  • The under is 4-1-3 in the past eight meetings between the teams.
  • The Brewers have won four straight against the White Sox.

Weather Report

Expect the roof to be closed for this game. With temperatures pushing 86 degrees in Milwaukee, it’s likely that this one will be played in a controlled environment.

Dan’s Pick

Chicago has been a team that hasn’t played up to the level of the stronger competition of the AL East and AL West, and that’s been the case here with the Brewers as well, as the White Sox have looked overmatched in the first two games of this series. Milwaukee can match the pitching, and I think this is the Brewers’ game to lose. I’m taking Milwaukee in a low-scoring affair. Did you know… that you could be betting baseball dimelines where favorites cost less and underdogs pay more? And that’s not all! You can bet on football/basketball sides and totals at -105 (instead of -110) as well! Find all this and more at one of the web’s best sportsbooks —> BetAnySports!