White Sox vs. Mariners Best Bet 9/7/22

by | Last updated Sep 7, 2022 | mlb

Chicago White Sox vs Seattle Mariners
Date: Wednesday September 7th, 04:10 ET
Location: T-Mobile Park
Money Line: White Sox +160 / Mariners -195
Total Line: 7.0


Chicago: Michael Kopech (4-9, 3.58)
Seattle: Luis Castillo (4-4, 2.86)

White Sox Projected Lineup

Yasmani Grandal C
Gavin Sheets RF
Andrew Vaughn LF
Yoán Moncada 3B
Romy Gonzalez 2B
José Abreu 1B
Eloy Jiménez LF
Elvis Andrus SS
Luis Robert CF
Michael Kopech P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Adam Frazier 2B
Cal Raleigh C
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Mitch Haniger RF
Carlos Santana 1B
J.P. Crawford SS
Ty France 1B
Julio Rodriguez CF
Jesse Winker LF
Luis Castillo P


Chicago White Sox: 68-68-0 SU / OU 59-68-9 / Run Line W/L 60-76-0
Seattle Mariners: 77-59-0 SU / OU 62-67-7 / Run Line W/L 74-62-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday September 7th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-195), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The White Sox are hoping to get back on track after falling to Seattle by a score of 3-0. Despite the loss, Chicago’s pitching staff gave up only 3 runs on 6 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 0 runs on 7 hits. The loss came as Chicago was the betting underdog, getting 135.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 7.5 runs. This outcome pushed Chicago’s over-under record further below .500 at 59-68-9.

In the White Sox’s last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +8. Chicago’s offense heads into action averaging 4.2 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 4.21. So far, Chicago has won over half of their 44 series played, going 17-16-11.

Seattle will look to keep things rolling in today’s game, as they most recently took down White Sox by 3 runs 3-0. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the White Sox to 0 runs and 7 hits. With their 6 hits, the Mariners could only muster 3 runs. Seattle picked up the win while being favored at -150.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 73 games, winning at a rate of 67.0%. With this result, the Mariners and White Sox combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 62-67-7.

In their last 5 games, the Mariners have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +14. Seattle has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.2 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.18. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 23-16-4.

Pitching Matchup

Michael Kopech gets the start for the White Sox, with an overall record of 4-9. To date, Kopech has an ERA of 3.58 while lasting an average of 4.79 innings per appearance. Through 23 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.199. Kopech is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.06 per 9 innings. On the season, Michael Kopech has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. This includes a per-game average of 4.26 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 4.47 walks per outing.

Luis Castillo gets the start for the Mariners, with an overall record of 4-4. In his previous outings, Castillo has lasted an average of 6.07 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.86. So far, batters are hitting just 0.201 against him. Home runs have not been an issue for Castillo, as he is giving up just 0.74 per 9. Overall, Luis Castillo has struck out 26.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 6.43 K’s per game. Castillo comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 2.96 free passes per outing.

Chicago vs Seattle History

For the season, the Chicago White Sox and Seattle Mariners will be playing their 6th game of the season. So far, Chicago is leading the season series, 3-2. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-4. The average run total in these games is 10.17 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.2 runs. When looking back to last season, Chicago and Seattle split the season series, with each team picking up 3. In these 6 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 4-2. Last year, the White Sox and Mariners averaged 10.17 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.17 runs per game.

Get our ARI/SD Bbetting analysis and best bet for their 9/7/22 game

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi White Sox’s last 7 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi White Sox’s last 5 games on the road
  • Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Seattle is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Leading into Wednesday’s American League matchup between Chicago and Seattle, the Mariners are the strong favorite on the moneyline. Look for the White Sox to once again struggle on offense, as Luis Castillo has been rolling of late for the Mariners. I recommend taking Seattle on the runline.

Free MLB Pick: Mariners Runline