Yankees vs. Blue Jays: MLB Picks and Predictions – April 15th

by | Last updated Apr 15, 2024 | mlb

New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Date: Monday, April 15th, 7:07 ET
Location: Rogers Centre
Money Line: Yankees -108/Blue Jays -112
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Yankees on Monday, April 15th at Rogers Centre. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
NYY -108 -1.5 O 9 (100)
TOR -112 +1.5 U 9 (-120)

At 7:07 PM ET, the Yankees and Blue Jays will face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Rogers Centre in Toronto, and the Yankees are sending Luis Gil to the mound vs. Chris Bassitt for the Blue Jays. New York is currently 12-4, while the Blue Jays are 8-8.

Looking at the money line odds, the Blue Jays are at -112 compared to the Yankees at -108. The over/under line is at 9 runs, and you can catch this one on YES.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Player Batting Order Position
Gleyber Torres 1 2B
Juan Soto 2 RF
Aaron Judge 3 CF
Anthony Rizzo 4 1B
Giancarlo Stanton 5 DH
Alex Verdugo 6 LF
Anthony Volpe 7 SS
Austin Wells 8 C
Oswaldo Cabrera 9 3B
Luis Gil SP

Player Batting Order Position
George Springer 1 RF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2 1B
Bo Bichette 3 SS
Justin Turner 4 DH
Alejandro Kirk 5 C
Daulton Varsho 6 LF
Cavan Biggio 7 2B
Kevin Kiermaier 8 CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 9 3B
Chris Bassitt SP

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

New York Yankees: 12-4 SU / OU 5-10 / Runline 8-8
Toronto Blue Jays: 8-8 SU / OU 7-8 / Runline 9-7

Yankees Records & Recent Play

New York is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 8-7 loss to Cleveland, Jose Trevino went 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs, and Aaron Judge went 1/4 with a homer and three RBIs. The Yankees also scored three runs in the 3rd inning but still took the loss. Looking at the betting lines going into the game, the Yankees were the slight favorite at -127 on the money line.

Nestor Cortes got the start for the Yankees and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. The Yankees also used five different relievers, and Caleb Ferguson was the only one who didn’t give up a run.

The Yankees come into this one having gone 12-4 through their first 16 games. In the AL East, they are currently two games ahead of the Orioles. So far, they have yet to lose a series, with a series record of 5-0.

At home, the Yankees have gone 4-2, and they have been really good on the road at 8-2. Coming into today’s game, they have yet to lose a game as the underdog this season, with a 5-0 mark.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of +2.9 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.5 runs per game. As a result, their run line record is just .500 at 8-8, with a 6-4 mark on the road and a 2-4 mark at home.

With a combined run average of 8.6 runs per game, the Yankees have gone over the total in five of their 15 games this season. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and the over/under line has been set at 9 runs on average. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the Yankees have gone 0-3-1 on the over/under this season. They have played in just two games with a higher over/under line than 9 runs this season, and their games have had an over/under line of 9 runs or fewer in 12 of their 16 games this season.

Blue Jays Records & Recent Play

The Blue Jays’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rockies, closing out their series with a 5-0 win. After allowing one run to the Rockies in the top of the first, the Blue Jays responded with a run of their own and added another two runs in the 3rd inning. Toronto went on to close things out with a 5th inning, and José Berríos picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run.

Berríos was also impressive on the mound, striking out seven Rockies batters and issuing just two walks. He only threw 84 pitches and got through seven innings of work, and the Blue Jays’s defense didn’t commit an error. Justin Turner was hot at the plate, going 3/4 with three RBIs.

Toronto is currently in 5th place in the AL East heading into today’s game vs. the Yankees. The Blue Jays are four games behind the Yankees, as the Red Sox are currently 3.0 games out of the division lead. In the overall standings, Toronto is at .500 with an 8-8 record.

So far, Toronto has been good at home, putting together a record of 4-2. On the road, they are just under .500 at 4-6. Toronto comes into this one having won two straight games and closed out their series with the Rockies with a win.

When the Blue Jays are at home, they are 4-2 against the run line, and they have covered the run line in their last two home games. Overall, they are 9-7 against the run line this season. They have been the favorite in seven games and the underdog in nine games. In games they have won, they have won by an average of 3.6 runs, while in games they have lost, they have lost by an average of 5.9 runs.

With an average combined run total of 8.8, the Blue Jays have seen their games go over the total in 7 of 15 games this season. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their games have had an average of 8.8 runs scored per game. Their games have gone under the total in 13 of 16 games with an over/under line of 9 or less. Their games have gone under the total in 81.2% of their games this season.

Pitching Matchup

Luis Gil will be making his first road start of the season for the Yankees, as they take on the Blue Jays. Gil has been solid in his first two outings, going 4 1/3 innings and 4 2/3 innings, respectively. He has 14 strikeouts in those two starts, but he has given up 2 homers in each outing.

Chris Bassitt will be making his third start of the season for the Blue Jays, and he has a 1-1 record through his first two outings. He started the year with a loss against the Astros, but bounced back with a win over the Mariners. In that win, he struck out 8 batters and gave up just 1 earned run in 6 2/3 innings.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays Offense Outlook

For the Yankees, we like Aaron Judge to have a big game at the plate. He has our 3rd highest total hits projection on the team and is not only our highest projected Yankees player to hit a home run, but his home run projection is 3rd best in the league today. Gleyber Torres is our top projected Yankees player in terms of total hits, as his total hits projection is 27th best in the league today. Juan Soto is our 2nd highest projected Yankees player in terms of total hits and home run projection, as his home run projection is 6th best in the league for today’s games.

When looking at the Blue Jays’ player projections for today, Bo Bichette has the highest total hits projection on the team and is 9th in the league. George Springer is 2nd on the team and 15th in the league in terms of total hits. Daulton Varsho has the best home run projection on the team and is 9th in the league. Justin Turner is 2nd on the team and 10th in the league in terms of home run projections.

Free Yankees vs. Blue Jays MLB Pick

With the Blue Jays currently at -112 on the money line, that is the direction we recommend going for this one.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt is actually a top option for a win today, as he is currently the best among starters to pick up a win. As for Luis Gil, his strikeout numbers are solid, but we have him finishing with six K’s, which has him as the eighth best starter in terms of strikeouts.

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