Yankees vs. Blue Jays Total Play 9/26/22

by | Sep 26, 2022 | mlb

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Monday September 26th, 07:07 ET

Location: Rogers Centre

TV: YES

Money Line: Yankees +100/Blue Jays -120 (BAS – Bet on games at reduced odds! It’s the smart thing to do! and will save you BIG money!)

Total Line: OFF

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Luis Severino (6-3, 3.36)
Toronto: Kevin Gausman (12-10, 3.32)

Yankees Projected Lineup

Harrison Bader CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Giancarlo Stanton LF
Oswaldo Cabrera LF
Aaron Judge RF
Josh Donaldson 3B
Jose Trevino C
Gleyber Torres 2B
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Luis Severino P

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Danny Jansen C
Whit Merrifield 2B
Teoscar Hernández LF
Matt Chapman 3B
Raimel Tapia LF
Bo Bichette SS
Alejandro Kirk C
George Springer CF
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
Kevin Gausman P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Yankees: 94-58-0 SU / OU 74-74-4 / Run Line W/L 67-85-0
Toronto Blue Jays: 86-67-0 SU / OU 78-71-4 / Run Line W/L 68-85-0

The Toronto Blue Jays host the New York Yankees on Monday, September 26th, at the Rogers Centre. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:07 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (OFF), with an OU line set at OFF.

Recent Form

In their most recent game, New York picked up a 2-run win over Boston (2-0). On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 0 runs on one hit. The team was able to pick up the win despite scoring just two runs on their six hits. Heading into their last game, New York was the betting favorite at -180.0. Through 139 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 64.0%. Combined, the Yankees and Boston fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.0 runs. New York once again has a .500 over-under betting record 74-74-4.

The Yankees will look to continue their strong play, as they are 5-0 over their last five contests. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +18. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 5.07 runs per game. But, over this stretch, this figure has bumped up to 6.6. So far, New York has won over half of their 50 series played, going 29-15-6.

In their last game, the Toronto Blue Jays picked up a 6-run win over the Rays by a score of 7-1. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Rays to one run and seven hits. In the victory, the Blue Jays came up with ten hits and seven runs. Despite being the underdogs, getting 125.0 on the money line, the Blue Jays still picked up the win. In their 24 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 46.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Blue Jays and Rays combined to surpass the line of 6.5 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 78-71-4.

In their last five contests, the Blue Jays have just two wins, going 2-3. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -2 over their last five games. In their five most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate (of 4.8) similar to their season-long average of 4.76. On the season, Toronto has won more than half of their series, going 25-15-8.

Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send Luis Severino to the mound with an overall record of 6-3. So far, Severino has put together an ERA of 3.36. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.35 innings. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.207 against Severino. Home runs have been a concern for Severino as he is allowing 1.38 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Luis Severino has a strong strikeout percentage of 28%, including a per-game average of 5.94. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.57 walks per outing.

The Toronto Blue Jays will send Kevin Gausman to the mound with an overall record of 12-10. Currently, Gausman has a strong ERA of just 3.32 while pitching an average of 5.69 innings per outing. Across his previous starts, opposing teams have put together a batting average of 0.272. So far, Gausman has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.76 home runs per 9 innings. Overall, Kevin Gausman has struck out 28% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 6.69 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Gausman, as he is giving up 1.47 walks per outing.

New York vs Toronto History

For the season, the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays will be playing their 17th game of the season. So far, New York is leading the season series, 9-7. Through 16 games, the series over-under record is 7-9, with the average run total sitting at 7.74 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 3.44 runs. Toronto won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 11 wins to 8. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 6-12, with the average run total being 7.74 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.79 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees’ last 7 games
  • Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
  • Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Leading into Monday’s AL East matchup between New York and Toronto, the oddsmakers have yet to set a line for this game, but look this game to feature a lot of runs. Although Kevin Gausman had a strong outing his last time out, he was previously struggling on the mound, giving up 5 runs in 2 straight outings. I recommend taking the over.

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