Yankees vs. Brewers Recommended Bet 9/17/22

by | Last updated Sep 17, 2022 | mlb

New York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers
Date: Saturday September 17th, 07:10 ET
Location: American Family Field
TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin
Money Line: Yankees +100 / Brewers -120
Total Line: 7.5


New York: Jameson Taillon (13-4, 3.94)
Milwaukee: Brandon Woodruff (10-4, 3.39)

Yankees Projected Lineup

Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Jose Trevino C
Oswaldo Cabrera RF
Miguel Andújar LF
Josh Donaldson 3B
Marwin Gonzalez 1B
Gleyber Torres 2B
Aaron Judge CF
Giancarlo Stanton LF
Jameson Taillon P

Brewers Projected Lineup

Jace Peterson 3B
Omar Narváez C
Kolten Wong 2B
Hunter Renfroe RF
Andrew McCutchen LF
Tyrone Taylor CF
Rowdy Tellez 1B
Christian Yelich LF
Willy Adames SS
Brandon Woodruff P


New York Yankees: 87-57-0 SU / OU 68-72-4 / Run Line W/L 63-81-0
Milwaukee Brewers: 77-67-0 SU / OU 71-65-8 / Run Line W/L 60-84-0

The Milwaukee Brewers host the New York Yankees on Saturday, September 17th at American Family Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Milwaukee as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

In their last game, the Yankees suffered a 1 run loss to Milwaukee by a score of 7-6. New York’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 10 hits, leading to 7 runs. The Yankees ended the game with 11 hits of their own, leading to 6 runs. This defeat came despite being favored at -115.0. Through 132 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 62.0%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.0 runs. The Yankees now have an over-under record of 68-72-4.

In the Yankees’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 4-1. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +15. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 4.97 runs per game. But, over this stretch this figure has bumped up to 7.6. So far, New York has won over half of their 48 series played, going 27-15-6.

In their last game, the Brewers picked up a close win over the Yankees by a score of 7-6. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 11 hits, leading to 6 runs. In the victory, the Brewers came up with 10 hits and 7 runs. Milwaukee picked up the win while being favored at -105.0. So far, the team has won 57.9% of the games in which they were favored. The Brewers and Yankees went over the run total line set at 8.0 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 71-65-8.

In their last 5 games, the Brewers have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +7. The Brewers’ offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 5.6 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.53. On the season, Milwaukee has won more than half of their series, going 22-18-8.

Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send Jameson Taillon to the mound with an overall record of 13-4. So far, Taillon has put together an ERA of 3.94. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.46 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.245. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Taillon, averaging 1.35 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Jameson Taillon has a strong strikeout percentage of 20.0%, including a per-game average of 4.57. Command has been a problem for Taillon, as he is giving up 1.59 walks per outing.

The Milwaukee Brewers will send Brandon Woodruff to the mound with an overall record of 10-4. To date, Woodruff has an ERA of 3.39 while lasting an average of 5.53 innings per appearance. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.222 against Woodruff. Per 9 innings pitched, Woodruff is giving up 1.06 home runs. On the season, Brandon Woodruff has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 28.9%. This has led to an average of 6.61 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.62 walks per outing.

New York vs Milwaukee History

For the season, the New York Yankees and Milwaukee Brewers will be playing their 2nd game of the season. Milwaukee holds the edge in the series at 1-0. Through 1 game, the series’ over-under record is 1-0, with the average run total sitting at nan runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 1.0 runs. Last year, the team split the season series at 0-0. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 0-0, with the average run total being nan runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was nan runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
  • NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee’s last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
  • Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

New York Yankees at Milwaukee Brewers Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s matchup between New York and Milwaukee, the Brewers are a slight favorite on the moneyline. The Brewers were able to pull off a comeback victory in last night’s contest and are fighting for the playoff lives. With Brandon Woodruff on the mound, look for Milwaukee to come out on top once again. I like the Brewers on the moneyline.

Free MLB Pick: Brewers Moneyline