Yankees vs. Mariners Odds & ML Play

by | Aug 10, 2022 | mlb

New York Yankees vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Wednesday August 10th, 04:10 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: ROOTNW

Money Line: Yankees -130 / Mariners +108 (SportsBetting.ag - Best sportsbook if you’re depositing using cryptocurrency!)

Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Nestor Cortes (9-3, 2.57)
Seattle: Robbie Ray (8-8, 3.96)

Yankees Projected Lineup

Aaron Hicks CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Josh Donaldson 3B
Aaron Judge RF
Andrew Benintendi LF
Jose Trevino C
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Gleyber Torres 2B
DJ LeMahieu 1B
Nestor Cortes P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Cal Raleigh C
J.P. Crawford SS
Carlos Santana 1B
Mitch Haniger RF
Jesse Winker LF
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Sam Haggerty LF
Adam Frazier 2B
Ty France 1B
Robbie Ray P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Yankees: 71-40-0 SU / OU 56-52-3 / Run Line W/L 52-59-0
Seattle Mariners: 60-52-0 SU / OU 53-55-4 / Run Line W/L 56-56-0

The Seattle Mariners host the New York Yankees on Wednesday August 10th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

After suffering a 1 run loss to the Mariners (1-0), the Yankees will look to get back in the win column. Despite the loss, New York’s pitching staff gave up only 1 run on 7 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 0 runs on 3 hits. Yankees suffered the loss, despite being favored at -138.0. Through 102 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 66.0%. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 6.5 runs. New York games have still surpassed the over-under line more than half of the time, at 56-52-3.

Over the Yankees’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 1-4. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -1. A key reason for New York’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 4.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 5.30. So far, New York has won over half of their 37 series played, going 23-8-6.

The Mariners are coming off a tight 1-0 win over the Yankees. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 0 runs on 3 hits. With their 7 hits, the Mariners could only muster 1 run. Despite being the underdogs, getting 128.0 on the moneyline, the Mariners still picked up the win. So far, the team has gone into 58 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 43.0%. With this result, the Mariners and Yankees combined to fall below the over-under line of 6.5 runs. Now, Seattle had an over-under record of 53-55-4.

In their last 5 games, the Mariners have put together a record of 3-2. They have managed to pick up these wins despite having a negative run differential over their last 5 games (-6). Seattle has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 2.8 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.02. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 18-14-3.

Pitching Matchup

The New York Yankees will send Nestor Cortes to the mound with an overall record of 9-3. Through 20 appearances, Cortes has an ERA of just 2.57 while averaging 5.6 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the left-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.208. Cortes is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.04 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Nestor Cortes has a strong strikeout percentage of 26.0%, including a per game average of 5.75. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Cortes is averaging 2.25 free passes per outing.

In today’s game, Seattle turns to starter Robbie Ray. For the year, he has a record of 8-8. To date, Ray has an ERA of 3.96 while lasting an average of 5.87 innings per appearance. Ray’s opponent batting average currently sits at 0.229. Opposing hitters are hitting home runs at an above average rate against Ray. This year, he is allowing 1.46 HR’s per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Robbie Ray has a strong K% of 28.0%, including a per game average of 6.77. Command has been a problem for Ray, as he is giving up 3.05 walks per outing.

New York vs Seattle History

For the season, the New York Yankees and Seattle Mariners will be playing their 6th game of the season. Currently, Seattle is winning the season series 3-2. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-1. The average run total in these games is 7.14 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.4 runs. Going back to last year, New York won the season series, 5 games to 2. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 2-5. Last year, the Yankees and Mariners averaged 7.14 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.14 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • NY Yankees is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Seattle
  • NY Yankees is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing Seattle
  • Seattle is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
  • Seattle is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s American League showdown between New York and Seattle, a pair of outstanding left-handed pitchers take the mound in Robbie Ray and Nestor Cortes. However, throughout the season, the Yankees have dominated at the place vs southpaws, posting the top wOBA in the league. I like the Yankees to pull out the win.

Free MLB Pick: Yankees Moneyline.

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