Yankees vs. Red Sox O/U Bet 7/9/22

by | Last updated Jul 9, 2022 | mlb

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox
Date: Saturday, July 9th, 07:15 ET
Location: Fenway Park
Money Line: Yankees -160 / Red Sox 134
Total Line: 9.5
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New York: Jordan Montgomery (3-2, 3.19)
Boston: Kutter Crawford (2-2, 5.04)

Yankees Projected Lineup

Aaron Hicks CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Josh Donaldson 3B
Gleyber Torres 2B
Giancarlo Stanton LF
Jose Trevino C
Anthony Rizzo 1B
DJ LeMahieu 1B
Aaron Judge RF
Jordan Montgomery P

Red Sox Projected Lineup

Christian Vázquez C
Bobby Dalbec 1B
Trevor Story 2B
Alex Verdugo LF
Christian Arroyo RF
Rafael Devers 3B
J.D. Martinez LF
Xander Bogaerts SS
Jarren Duran CF
Kutter Crawford P


New York Yankees: 60-23-0 SU / OU 38-44-2 / Run Line W/L 43-41-0
Boston Red Sox: 45-38-0 SU / OU 35-42-7 / Run Line W/L 46-38-0The Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees on Saturday, July 9th at Fenway Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:15 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-160), with an OU line set at 9.5.

Recent Form

The New York Yankees will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the Red Sox by a score of 12-5. The Red Sox came up with 13 hits leading to 5 runs against New York’s pitchers. The Yankees lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 14 hits, leading to 12 runs. In the matchup, New York was favored at -145.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 79 of their games, winning at a rate of 72.0%. Together, the Yankees and Red Sox combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 9.5 runs. Even with this game going over the total, New York still has an over-under record of just 38-44-2.

The Yankees are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +19. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 5.23 runs per game. But over this stretch, this figure has bumped up to 7.2. So far, New York has won over half of their 28 series played, going 21-3-4.

Boston will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Yankees by the score of 12-5. On their way to giving up 12 runs, the Red Sox staff allowed 14 hits. At the plate, the Red Sox scored 5 times on 13 hits. Leading into Boston’s loss they were the underdogs, getting 122.0 on the moneyline. In their 32 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 44.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Red Sox and Yankees combined to surpass the line of 9.5 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 35-42-7.

The Red Sox come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -14. In their 5 most recent contests, the team is scoring at a rate of 3.8, similar to their season-long average of 4.68. Boston has a below .500 series record of just 12-12-3.


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Pitching Matchup

New York will roll with Jordan Montgomery (3-2) as their starter. Currently, Montgomery has an ERA of just 3.19 while pitching an average of 5.63 innings per outing. Hits have been hard to come by against the left-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.226. Montgomery is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.0 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Jordan Montgomery has a strong strikeout percentage of 20.0%, including a per-game average of 4.5. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 1.69 walks per contest.

In today’s game, Boston turns to starter Kutter Crawford. For the year, he has a record of 2-2. To date, Crawford has an ERA of 5.04 while lasting an average of 2.27 innings per appearance. Crawford’s opponent batting average currently sits at 0.24. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Crawford, averaging 1.44 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Crawford is averaging just 2.91 K’s per game. So far, he has struck out 28.0% of the batters he has faced. Throughout the season, Crawford has avoided walking batters, allowing just 4.68 per contest.

New York vs Boston History

Today’s matchup between the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox will be their 6th meeting of the season. So far, New York is leading the season series, 4-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 3-2. The average run total in these games is 7.85 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 2.4 runs. Dating back to last season, Boston picked up 11 wins compared to 9, taking the season series. In these 20 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 6-13. Last year, the Yankees and Red Sox averaged 7.85 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 3.05 runs per contest.

More Picks: Get our Giants at Padres Bet Bet 7/9/22 >>>

Betting Trends

  • NY Yankees is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Boston
  • NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
  • Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 6 games

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s AL East showdown between New York and Boston, the Yankees are the favorite to come out on top. Boston starter Kutter Crawford will be tasked with cooling down a New York offense that just put up 12 runs. Look for a lot of runs to be scored between the two teams. I recommend taking the over at 9.5 runs.

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