Yankees vs. Red Sox Runline Bet 7/7/22

by | Jul 7, 2022 | mlb

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Thursday, July 7th, 07:10 ET

Location: Fenway Park

TV: YES

Money Line: Yankees -160 / Red Sox +134 Bovada - Home of the BEST live wagering platform on the web!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

New York: Gerrit Cole (7-2, 2.99)
Boston: Josh Winckowski (3-2, 3.12)

Yankees Projected Lineup

Aaron Hicks LF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Josh Donaldson 3B
Gleyber Torres 2B
Giancarlo Stanton RF
Jose Trevino C
Anthony Rizzo 1B
DJ LeMahieu 1B
Aaron Judge CF
Gerrit Cole P

Red Sox Projected Lineup

Franchy Cordero RF
Christian Vázquez C
Alex Verdugo LF
Trevor Story 2B
Jackie Bradley Jr. RF
Rafael Devers 3B
J.D. Martinez LF
Xander Bogaerts SS
Jarren Duran CF
Josh Winckowski P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

New York Yankees: 59-23-0 SU / OU 36-44-2 / Run Line W/L 42-40-0
Boston Red Sox: 45-37-0 SU / OU 33-42-7 / Run Line W/L 45-37-0

The Boston Red Sox host the New York Yankees on Thursday, July 7th at Fenway Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-160), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The New York Yankees are coming off a 16-run win over the Pirates by a score of 16-0. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 0 runs on 4 hits. The Yankees lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 22 hits, leading to 16 runs. In the matchup, New York was favored at -200.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 77 of their games, winning at a rate of 71.0%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.5 runs. Even with this game going over the total, New York still has an over-under record of just 36-44-2.

The Yankees are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +25. Offensively, the team has put up 37 runs in their last 5 games. New York’s season average comes in at 5.13 (1st. So far, New York has won over half of their 27 series played, going 20-3-4.

Boston will look to move on from a 6 run loss to the Rays, falling by the score of 7-1. On their way to giving up 7 runs, the Red Sox staff allowed 10 hits. With their 6 hits, the Red Sox could only plate 1 runner. Boston dropped the game despite being favored at -117.0. So far, the team has won 60.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Red Sox and Rays combined to fall below the over-under line of 9.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 33-42-7.

The Red Sox come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -6. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 2.8 runs over their last 5 game. On the season, Boston has won more than half of their series, going 12-11-3.

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Pitching Matchup

New York will roll with Gerrit Cole (7-2) as their starter. In his previous outings, Cole has lasted an average of 5.82 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.99. So far, batters are hitting just 0.195 against him. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Cole is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.35 homers per 9 innings pitched. Per game, Gerrit Cole is averaging 7.31, on a strikeout percentage of 31.0%. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Cole is averaging 2.51 free passes per outing.

The Boston Red Sox will send Josh Winckowski to the mound with an overall record of 3-2. Currently, Winckowski has a strong ERA of just 3.12 while pitching an average of 5.2 innings per outing. Across his previous starts, opposing teams have put together a batting average of 0.29. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below average rate against Winckowski, as he is allowing just 0.35 per 9 innings. Up to this point, Winckowski has a strikeout percentage of just 17.0% and a per game average of 3.8. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.42 walks per contest.

New York vs Boston History

For the season, the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox will be playing their 4th game of the season. New York has the lead in the series at 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-2. The average run total in these games is 7.85 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 1.33 runs. Boston won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 11 wins to 9. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 6-13, with the average run total being 7.85 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.05 runs per game.

More MLB Picks: Get our Tigers vs. White Sox free pick for their 7/7/22 match >>>

Betting Trends

  • NY Yankees is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Boston
  • NY Yankees is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Boston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston’s last 8 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox Prediction

Heading into Thursday’s rivalry matchup between New York and Boston, the Yankees are the favorite to come away with a road win. Even though Josh Winckowski has put together a strong season, I give the edge to Gerrit Cole and the Yankees. I feel strong enough about New York and their potent lineup to grab them on the runline.

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