2007 Pennsylvania 500 Betting – Race Picks

Pennsylvania 500 Betting – Race Picks
by Yomonte of Predictem.com

Coverage of the Pennsylvania 500 begins at 1:00 PM EST on ESPN

Featured Matchup: Mark Martin vs. Juan Pablo Montoya

Mark Martin is again a dog this week against someone that has shown to be mediorcre. Montoya who hails from Bogata Colombia, was one of the best in Formula One racing and does fairly well in tracks similar to F-1. Road courses.

It would be fair to call Montoya a road course specialist along with the big boys like Boris Said and Ron Fellows to name a few, but when you factor in the turning left only which is over 90% of the season, Juan has a problem.

Last week, Martin was an underdog against Casey Mears. Seems I have alot
more respect for a driver that has been the most consistent of drivers that
has not won a championship than the books do. Martin is in semi retirement
and has missed five races. He is still sitting ahead of Montoya in the points
with a shot at the Chase. That speaks volumes.

In June of this year at the Pocono 500, Martin started 34th and Montoya 38. Martin finished 7th and Montoya 20th. This is one of the flattest tracks on the circuit and I don’t see Montoya lasting very long here. His average finish is 21,6 with a win in the mix. Martin on the other hand has an average finish of 10.6. With 15 races under his belt and still have an average finish of 10.6 says one thing, consistency.

Martin always a bridegroom, never a bride, and that won’t change this year, but Montoya, even if he had the pole, could only beat Martin if Mark got into trouble.

Its a chance I’m willing to take. Martin has 19 top 5’s and 28 top 10’s at this track. One word “consistency”. Why these books continue to dog Martin is beyond me, but I will continue to take him, especially in this situation.

Olympic has Martin at +105 and Montoya at -130.

Yomonte’s Pick: Mark Martin over Juan Pablo Montoya