76ers vs. Heat Game 1 Odds & Picks

by | May 2, 2022 | nba

Philadelphia 76ers (55-33 SU, 42-45-1 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (57-30 SU, 49-37-1 ATS)

When: Monday May 02 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida

TV: TNT

Point Spread: PHI +7.5/MIA -7.5 (Opened MIA -4.5 BetNow - We have arranged a deal with them where you can get a special 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you sign up through our link and use bonus code PREDICTEM)

Total: 208.5 (Opened at 202.5)

Money Line: Philadelphia 270/Miami -346

Power Rating: MIA -5

Probable Starting Lineups

Philadelphia 76ers PG James Harden, SG Tyrese Maxey, SF Danny Green, PF Tobias Harris, C Paul Reed

Miami Heat PG Gabe Vincent, SG Max Strus P, SF Jimmy Butler P, PF P.J. Tucker P, C Bam Adebayo

Key Injuries

Philadelphia 76ers
Joel Embiid: Head (OUT)
Charles Bassey: Shoulder (QUESTIONABLE)

Miami Heat
Jimmy Butler: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Max Strus: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE)
Tyler Herro: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)
P.J. Tucker: Calf (QUESTIONABLE)
Caleb Martin: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Markieff Morris: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)
Kyle Lowry: Hamstring (OUT)

The Miami Heat host the Philadelphia 76ers in a Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the FTX Arena.

Recent Form

The Philadelphia 76ers come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Philadelphia is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 29-15. Over their last five games, the 76ers have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Philadelphia’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 108.0 points per game. Combined, the 76ers’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. Philadelphia comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 102.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 107.0. In the Philadelphia 76ers’ most recent game, Philadelphia took down Toronto by a score of 132-97

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 at home, holding a record of 32-12. The Heat have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 109.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 112.0 points per contest. The Heat come into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 97.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 105.1. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down Atlanta by a score of 97-94.

HEAT/CELTICS: HUGE *10* TOTAL! 13-3 RUN!

Will Rodgers Sports HandicapperI came up short with last night's NBA pick, but have won two straight in the East Conf Finals. Had the Under in Gm 4 & Boston in Gm 5! For Gm 6, I've got a HUGE 10* Total! I'm 8-3 L11 playoff totals, not to mention +$24,112 with ALL pro hoops this SEASON! Also, it's been a RED HOT start to the week overall! The L4 days, I'm 13-3 with premium plays!

Individual Player Analysis

As Philadelphia travels to take on the Miami Heat, the 76ers’ will look for James Harden, Tyrese Maxey and Tobias Harris to make up for being without Joel Embiid. If any of these players is going to have a big scoring night, they will need to be on top of their game as Miami is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 40.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in scoring, averaging 21 points across his 58 games. Throughout the season, Butler has outscored his season average in 50.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Butler will need to do so against a 76ers defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 37.5%. This figure is good for a rank of 1st in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The 76ers come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 110.5 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Philadelphia is winning at a rate of 68%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 12.0 points. On the other side, the Heat hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 37 games as the better defensive team, picking up 29 wins (78%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat have met up for 4 games. In their last meeting, Philadelphia picked up a 113-106 win.

How the Public is Betting the 76ers vs Heat

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 208.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
  • 76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
  • Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
  • Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Throughout the NBA playoffs, injuries to key players have been a major storyline. In this series between Philadelphia and Miami, the most significant blow is to the Sixers and Joel Embiid. Currently, there is no timetable for his return. On the other side, several key Heat will be without Kyle Lowry and have several key players also listed as questionable. Without Embiid, I don’t see the Sixers being able to regroup and put together a game plan to pull off the upset in game 1. Look for the Heat to take the early 1-0 lead. I recommend Miami ATS. Bet your NBA playoffs picks for FREE by scoring a massive 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 at Betnow Sportsbook when you sign up through our special link and use bonus code PREDICTEM.