Blazers vs. Lakers 11/30/22 Betting Analysis Plus Free Spread Pick

by | Nov 30, 2022 | nba

Portland Trail Blazers (11-10 SU, 13-8-0 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (7-12 SU, 7-11-1 ATS)

When: Wednesday, November 30th, 10:30 PM (ET)

Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles

TV: NBA

Point Spread: POR +5.5/ LAL -5.5 (STOP betting games at -110! YOU-ARE-WASTING-MONEY! Start laying only -105 TODAY at BAS Sportsbook! You’ll be so glad you made the switch!)

Total: 226.0

Money Line: Portland Trail Blazers +177/ -221

Notable Injuries

Trail Blazers

  • Damian Lillard (Out) Calf
  • Gary Payton II (Out) Abdomen
  • Keon Johnson (Out) Hip
  • Shaedon Sharpe (Probable) Illness

Lakers

  • Anthony Davis (Probable) Back
  • Patrick Beverley (Out) Suspension
  • LeBron James (Probable) Adductor

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Portland is 11-10 overall. When taking to the road, Portland has a mark of 7-5 and a win percent of 57.9%. Currently, the team is 7th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 13-8-0 vs the spread. Portland travels to take on the Lakers, hoping to avoid their 3rd straight loss.

Portland most recently lost to the Clippers by a score of 118-112. The team high 37 points from Anfernee Simons was not enough to come away with the win. The Trail Blazers were 4 point favorites going into the game.

Heading into the game, Los Angeles is 7-12 overall. When playing at home, Los Angeles has a mark of 5-6 and a win percent of 45%. Currently, the team is 13th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 7-11-1 vs the spread. In Los Angeles’ last 5 games, the Lakers have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-1-1 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 5-5 and 5-4-1 ATS.

Los Angeles most recently lost to Pacers by a score of 116-115. The team high 25 points from Anthony Davis was not enough to come home with the win. The Lakers were 4 point favorites going into the game.

The Historicals

This season, the Lakers and Blazers have met up for 1 game, with Portland picking up a win on the road by a score of 106-104. Heading into the game, the Blazers were the 4 point underdogs. The over-under line was set at 226.5, which the teams remained below.

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Analysis

Coming into the game, Portland is ranked 23rd in the league at 109.8 points per contest. However, they have been playing well on defense, ranking 9th at 110.7 points per game allowed. So far, a strength of their offensive play is their ability to get to the free-throw line, ranking 2nd in attempts per game. However, they have not been able to fully capitalize on these opportunites, as they are just 23rd in 3-point shooting percentage. Anfernee Simons leads the team in scoring at 24 points per game. Right behind him is Jerami Grant, who is adding 22 points to go along with his 4 rebounds.

On offense, the Los Angeles Lakers are averaging 112 points per contest, which is 16th in the NBA. So far, they have done a good job working the ball inside, as they are 4th in scoring in the paint. However, the team has struggled to knock down shots from deep, ranking 29th in a 3-point shooting percentage. Defensively, the Lakers are allowing 114.5 points per game, placing them 20th in the league. Anthony Davis is the leading scorer for LA at 26 points per game. Lebron James is right behind him at 25.4 points per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Trail Blazers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games.
  • Trail Blazers are 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games following a ATS loss.
  • Trail Blazers are 11-25 ATS in their last 36 games following a straight up loss.
  • Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Portland blew a fat lead, suffered an emotional loss, Josh Hart is banged up, they’re missing other key pieces as Nassir Little went down and now they have to travel and play in L.A. the next day? There are way too many negative variables in play here. I’m laying the points with the Lakers. Note: Do yourself a favor and take 2 minutes to learn about the benefits of reduced vig! It’ll save you a ton of cash you’re already spending!