Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Game 7 Predictions

by | May 29, 2022 | nba

Boston Celtics (62-37 SU, 54-42-3 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (64-35 SU, 56-42-1 ATS)

When: Sunday May 29 2022, 08:30 PM (ET)

Where: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: BOS -2.5/MIA +2.5 (Opened BOS -2 at MyBookie - Use bonus code PREDICT100 and they’ll give you a 100% bonus up to $300!)

Total: 195.5 (Opened at 200)

Money Line: Boston Celtics -142/Miami Heat +118

Power Rating: BOS -3

Probable Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics PG Marcus Smart Q, SG Jaylen Brown, SF Jayson Tatum, PF Al Horford, C Robert Williams Q

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry Q, SG Max Strus Q, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker Q, C Bam Adebayo

Key Injuries

Boston Celtics
Robert Williams III: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Marcus Smart: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Sam Hauser: Shoulder (QUESTIONABLE)

Miami Heat
Gabe Vincent: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE)
P.J. Tucker: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Kyle Lowry: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE)
Max Strus: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE)
Tyler Herro: Groin (QUESTIONABLE)

The Miami Heat host the Boston Celtics in an Eastern Conference Finals matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:30 PM ET at the FTX Arena.

Recent Form

The Boston Celtics come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 4th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Boston is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 29-20. Over their last five games, the Celtics have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Boston’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 106.0 points per game. Combined, the Celtics’ last five opponents are giving up 105.0 points per contest. Boston comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 97.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 103.9. In the Boston Celtics’ most recent game, the team fell to Miami by a score of 111-103.

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 at home, holding a record of 36-14. Over the Heat’s last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 97.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 104.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Heat are allowing an average of 106.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 104.7. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down Boston by a score of 111-103.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Boston travels to take on the Miami Heat, the Celtics’ leading scorer is Jayson Tatum. Through 76 games, Tatum is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 47.0% of his games. So far, the Heat are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 48.57% of their games, placing them 12nd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in scoring, averaging 21 points across his 58 games. Throughout the season, Butler has outscored his season average in 50.0% of his outings. Given that Boston’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Jimmy Butler should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Celtics have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 53.03% of their games, giving them a rank of 25th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Boston Celtics are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 34 of Boston’s 41 games, leading to a winning percentage of 59%. So far, the Miami Heat have played 43 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 43 times, by an average margin of -15.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat have met up for 9 games. In their last meeting, Miami picked up a 111-103 win.

How the Public is Betting the Celtics vs Heat

67% are betting the Celtics against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 195.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Celtics are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
  • Celtics are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
  • Heat are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games.
  • Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into game 7 of the Eastern Conference Finals, the Boston Celtics are the favorites to win the game, despite Miami having home court advantage. So far, there has yet to be a game that comes down to the wire. But, I expect this to change in what should be a highly competitive game 7. However, I see Boston’s advantage in offensive playmaking to be the advantage. Look for the Celtics to advance to the NBA Finals, picking up the win and covering the spread. Note: Did you know that you could be laying -105 odds instead of -110? It doesn’t sound like much, however, it’d save you THOUSANDS of dollars in unnecessary risk over the years! Be wise! Don’t piss away anymore of your hard earned money than you have to! Make the switch to BetAnySports and start reaping the benefits today!