Bucks vs. 76ers Odds, Trends, Predictions 10/20/22

by | Oct 20, 2022 | nba

Milwaukee Bucks (0-0 SU, 0-0-0 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (0-1 SU, 0-1-0
ATS)

When: Thursday, October 20th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Wells Fargo Center, PA, Philadelphia

TV: TNT

Point Spread: MIL +4.5/ PHI -4.5 (Bet it at -105 instead of -110 at BAS!)

Total: 225.0

Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks +144/ -174

Recent Form

Last year, the Bucks finished with a regular season record of 51-31, which placed them 3rd in
the Eastern Conference. This mark was good enough to make the playoffs. However, their season
ended with a 2nd round loss to Boston. A large part of last year’s success came from the ability
to play well on the road, going 24-17 away from home.

The 76ers come into today’s matchup with an overall record of 0-1. So far, the team has gone
0-1-0 against the spread. Not only did the 76ers drop their last game to the Celtics. But they
also picked up an ATS loss, as they fell by a score of 126-117 as 3-point underdogs. In the loss,
James Harden led the team in scoring with 35 points on a field goal percentage of 64.3%.

The Historicals

Not only did the Bucks finish with an above .500 record on the road in last year’s
head-to-head matchup vs Philadelphia, but they also won over half of their games as the road
team. Similar to their season-long average, the Bucks averaged 118.67 points per game vs the
76ers. On the other side, Philadelphia saw an improvement in their scoring numbers when playing
the Bucks, as they averaged 116.0 points per game in these matchups. In terms of betting vs the
spread, the Bucks have gone 4-1, but the 76ers actually have a positive scoring differential. In
these contests, the teams averaged a combined 118.0 points per game, leading to an over-under
mark of 4-1.

Analysis

Last season, the Bucks were one of the top scoring teams in the NBA, averaging 115.5 points
per game, placing them 3rd in the league. In today’s game, they are facing off against a
Philadelphia defense that ranked 8th in fewest points allowed per game. Last season, Milwaukee
went just 16-18 vs strong defensive units.

Power-Foward Giannis Antetokounmpo returns to the team as their leading scorer, averaging
29.88 points per game in the 2021-2022 season. For the year, he shot 55.3% from the field, which
was 1st on the team. He heads into today’s game vs Philadelphia with an excellent matchup, as
throughout last season, the 76ers struggled to limit opposing power-forwards in the scoring
department.

This year, the 76ers will look to take a jump in offensive production, as they finished the
2021-2022 season ranked 18th in points per game (109.9). In today’s game, Philadelphia is facing
off against a Milwaukee defense that finished near the league average in points allowed per game.
Last year, the 76ers had a record of 20-6 vs teams in the middle third of the league in points
allowed.

Leading scorer James Harden will need to be on top of his game vs the Bucks, as they were on
the NBA’s top teams at limiting the scoring of opposing shooting guards.

Betting Trends

Milwaukee is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia The
total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee’s last 7 games when playing on the road against
Philadelphia The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games when playing at home
against Milwaukee The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing
Milwaukee

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

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