Bucks vs. 76ers Predictions 3/29/22

by | Mar 29, 2022 | nba

Milwaukee Bucks (46-28 SU, 35-39-0 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (46-28 SU, 36-37-1 ATS)

When: Tuesday March 29 2022, 07:00 PM (ET)

Where: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

TV: BSWI

Point Spread: MIL +1.5/PHI -1.5 (Opened PHI -2.5 at BetOnline - FASTEST BTC payouts!)

Total: 228.5 (Opened at 227)

Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks 102/Philadelphia 76ers -122

Power Rating: PHI -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks PG Jrue Holiday Off Inj, SG Grayson Allen, SF Khris Middleton, PF Giannis Antetokounmpo P, C Brook Lopez

Philadelphia 76ers PG James Harden, SG Tyrese Maxey, SF Matisse Thybulle, PF Tobias Harris, C Joel Embiid

Key Injuries

Milwaukee Bucks
Serge Ibaka: Illness (PROBABLE)
Jrue Holiday: Ankle (PROBABLE)
Giannis Antetokounmpo: Knee (PROBABLE)
Lindell Wigginton: Ankle (OUT)
DeAndre’ Bembry: Knee (OUT)

Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia has no reported injuries at this time.

The Philadelphia 76ers host the Milwaukee Bucks in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:00 PM ET at the Wells Fargo Center.

Recent Form

The Milwaukee Bucks come into this game with an overall record of 46-28, placing them 3rd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Milwaukee is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 20-16. Over their last five games, the Bucks have played well, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Milwaukee is averaging 119.0 points per game, 4.0 points more than their season average of 114.9. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 112.0 points per contest. Even though Milwaukee has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 118.0 points per game, up from the Bucks’ usual rate of 111.2. In the Milwaukee Bucks’ most recent game, the team fell to Memphis by a score of 127-102.

The Philadelphia 76ers come into this game with an overall record of 46-28, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Philadelphia is above .500 at home, holding a record of 21-16. The 76ers have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Philadelphia’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 111.0 points per game. Combined, the 76ers’ last five opponents are giving up 108.0 points per contest. The 76ers have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 106.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 106.6. In the Philadelphia 76ers’ most recent game, the team fell to Phoenix by a score of 114-104.

Reduced Juice Sportsbook

BAS Sportsbook
BET AT -105
 
 

Individual Player Analysis

As Milwaukee travels to take on the Philadelphia 76ers, the Bucks’ leading scorer is Giannis Antetokounmpo. Through 62 games, Antetokounmpo is averaging 29 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 50.0% of his games. Against the 76ers, Antetokounmpo will need to be on top of his game as Philadelphia is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 40.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Joel Embiid leads the 76ers in scoring, averaging 29 points across his 63 games. Throughout the season, Embiid has outscored his season average in 57.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Embiid will need to do so against a Bucks defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 42.62%. This figure is good for a rank of 6th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Bucks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 111.5 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Milwaukee is winning at a rate of 59%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 15.0 points. On the other side, the 76ers hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 26 games as the better defensive team, picking up 14 wins (54%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Milwaukee Bucks and Philadelphia 76ers have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Philadelphia picked up a 123-120 win.

How the Public is Betting the Bucks vs 76ers

67% are betting the Sixers against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 227.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS loss.
  • Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • 76ers are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss.
  • 76ers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Milwaukee Bucks and Philadelphia 76ers come into this game tied for 2nd in the Eastern Conference. Tonight’s matchup will also be the first time the two teams have played since the addition of James Harden to the Sixers roster. Philly comes into the matchup as the 1.5 point favorites, as each team’s star players are expected to play. Look for this to be a tight game, with the Sixers pulling it out late. I anticipate James Harden and Joel Embiid causing problems for Milwaukee in the foul department, particularly for Giannis Antetokounmpo, who doesn’t hold back on defense. Be sure to check out the rest of my Tuesday NBA predictions!