Bucks vs. Blazers Analysis & Recommended Bet

by | Last updated Feb 6, 2023 | nba

Milwaukee Bucks (36-17 SU, 28-22-3 ATS) vs. Portland Trail Blazers (26-27 SU, 28-25-0 ATS)
When: Monday, February 6th, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Moda Center, OR, Portland

Point Spread: Mil -4.5/Por +4.5 (Did you know that you can bet hoops/football at -105 odds instead of -110? Making the switch will save you TONS of money! Find this incredible offer at BetAnySports!)
Total: 239.5
Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks -191/+156

Notable Injuries


  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Probable) Knee
  • Serge Ibaka (Out) Personal
  • Bobby Portis (Out) Knee

Trail Blazers

  • Jusuf Nurkic (Out) Calf
  • Justise Winslow (Out) Ankle
  • Gary Payton II (Probable) Illness
  • Drew Eubanks (Probable) Back
  • Ibou Badji (Out) Knee

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Milwaukee is 36-17 overall. When taking to the road, Milwaukee has a mark of 13-12 and a win percentage of 52%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 28-22-3 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Portland, the Milwaukee Bucks have won 7 straight games and will look to push that mark to 8 in a row.

In their preceding game, the Bucks overpowered the Heat, earning a 123-115 win as 6 point favorites. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way for the Bucks, putting up 35 points on 68.4% shooting. The Bucks not only secured the victory but also covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Portland is 26-27 overall. When playing at home, Portland has a mark of 14-11 and a win percentage of 56%. Currently, the team is 11th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 28-25-0 vs. the spread. In Portland’s last five games, the Trail Blazers have a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 5-5 and 4-6 ATS.

In their last game, Portland was defeated by the Bulls by a score of 129-121. Despite Damian Lillard scoring 40 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Trail Blazers were 3-point favorites.

The Historicals

In the most recent game between the two teams, the Bucks picked up a 119-111 win over the Trail Blazers. However, heading into the game, Milwaukee was favored to win by 9.5 points, giving the Trail Blazers and ATS victory. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Across the previous five meetings between the teams, the Bucks have an average scoring margin of +13 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. The over-under record in these same games is 4-1, with the teams combining for an average of 235 points per game.

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This season, the Bucks have loved to get up and down the court, as they are currently 12th in the league in possessions per game. However, this has yet to fully translate into the offensive success they are looking for, as Milwaukee is 18th in scoring at 114.3 points per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Milwaukee’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 4th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.8% of their looks from the outside. On defense, the Bucks allow an average of 112.13 points per game, placing them 19th in the league. So far, opposing teams are hitting 35.73% of their looks from deep vs. Milwaukee.

Giannis Antetokounmpo is the top scorer for the Bucks, with an average of 32.4 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 53.9%. Jrue Holiday is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 19.1 points per game.

This season, the Trail Blazers’ offense averages 114.6 points per game, which is 14th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Portland has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 97.3 possessions per game. Portland’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 7th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.7%. The defense has been a struggle for Portland, as they currently allow 115.11 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.95% of their looks from the outside.

Going into today’s game, Damian Lillard is the leading scorer for the Portland team, with an average of 30.9 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 46.7%. The team’s second top scorer is Anfernee Simons, who is averaging 22.0 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Bucks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday games.
  • The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • The Trail Blazers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 Monday games.
  • The Trail Blazers are 3-7 ATS in their last ten games following an ATS loss.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Bucks have won seven games in a row and nine of their last ten. Portland has been playing well but simply has no answer for Giannis. I’m betting the Bucks at -4.5. Bet your NBA picks for FREE this week by scoring a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use bonus promo code PREDICTEM on the “Special Offers Page” after you make your first deposit and before you place your first bet at Everygame Sportsbook! These guys (Formerly Intertops) were the first to go online and considered to be the most trusted bookie on the web! Click here to get your free bets now!