Bucks vs. Kings Showdown: Betting Odds, Insights, and Picks

by | Last updated Mar 12, 2024 | nba

Milwaukee Bucks (42-23 SU, 28-37 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (36-27 SU, 31-32 ATS)

When: Tuesday, March 12th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento


Point Spread: Mil -2.5/Sac +2.5

Total: 237

Money Line: Milwaukee Bucks -139/+116

Notable Injuries


  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Probable) Knee
  • Khris Middleton (Questionable) Ankle
  • MarJon Beauchamp (Questionable) Back
  • AJ Green (Probable) Ankle


  • Sasha Vezenkov (Out) Ankle
  • Keegan Murray (Questionable) Ankle

At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings will host the Milwaukee Bucks in a non-conference matchup. The Bucks are favored by 2.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 237.

Milwaukee is 42-23 and currently holds the 2nd seed in the Eastern Conference. The Kings are 36-27 and sit 7th in the West.

Recent Form

In Milwaukee’s victory over the Clippers, the teams combined for 241 points, easily surpassing the O/U line of 221.5. This continues a streak of two straight games going over the total for the Bucks.

For the season, Milwaukee has an O/U record of 32-33 and their games have averaged 238 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 237.

In terms of their ATS record, the Bucks are 28-37 overall and 14-19 on the road. They have covered the spread in two straight games at home and are 14-18 ATS at home compared to 14-19 on the road.

On the season, the Bucks are 40-16 as the favorite and have an ATS record of 25-31 as the favorite. Today, they are favored by 2.5 points.

In the Eastern Conference standings, the Bucks are currently in 2nd place with a record of 42-23. Within the Central Division, they hold a 1st place record of 10-7.

So far this season, the Bucks have gone 29-13 against other teams in the East and 13-10 against the West. Their road record for the season is 17-16.

As the Kings look to snap a two-game losing streak, they are 2.5-point underdogs at home against the Bucks. This season, Sacramento has an ATS record of 11-18 at home and an average scoring margin of +0.3 points per game.

Sacramento’s ATS record for the season is 31-32, including going 12-8 as underdogs. In their last five home games, the Kings are 0-5 ATS.

So far this season, the Kings have gone 33-29-1 on the O/U, with an average over/under line of 235.8. Today’s line is set at 237, and 35 of their games have had lower O/U lines than that.

In their last game, the Kings were 7-point favorites but lost to the Rockets by a score of 112-104. The O/U line for that game was 234, and Sacramento’s ATS record for the game was a loss.

In the Western Conference, the Kings are currently in 7th place with a record of 36-27. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 25-17 and 8-6 against teams in the Pacific Division.

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The Historicals

Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Bucks have averaged 134 points per game compared to 126 for Sacramento. This has led to an ATS record of 3-2 for Milwaukee. Milwaukee and Sacramento averaged a combined 260 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 5-0.


When it comes to scoring, the Bucks are one of the most potent offenses in the league. They are currently 2nd in the NBA with an average of 120.9 points per game. However, they have actually been slightly better on the road, averaging 118.9 points compared to 123.0 at home.

In terms of three-point shooting, the Bucks are 6th in the NBA at 37%. On average, they make 14.3 threes per game, which is 4th in the league. When it comes to pace, Milwaukee is 5th overall at 100.7 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Bucks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 66.2% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 7th in the league at 49%. When it comes to two-point shooting, Milwaukee is 2nd in the NBA at 57%.

At this time, the Bucks’ defense is positioned 19th in the NBA, permitting 117.1 points per game. Milwaukee’s defense is currently forcing 12.1 turnovers per game, which is 8th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 16th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.1 rejections per game.

This season, the Kings are averaging 118.2 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA. At home, they are averaging 120.9 points per game.

In terms of pace, Sacramento is 10th in the league at 100 possessions per game. They are also 6th in assists, averaging 28.7 per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Kings are 5th in made threes but are just 16th in three-point shooting percentage at 36%. Overall, they are 11th in field goal percentage.

Coming into the game, the Kings’ defense is giving up an average of 117.9 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 61.9% of their games. In terms of takeaways, the Kings are causing 12.8 turnovers per game, ranking 17th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 29th in rejections, averaging 4 blocked shots each game.

Betting Trends

  • In their last five road games, Milwaukee has averaged 112 points per game while allowing 112. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Sacramento has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • The last ten games that Sacramento was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Milwaukee has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 7-3 straight up.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Tonight’s Kings vs. Bucks matchup is one of the closest point spreads of the night, with the Bucks favored by 2.5. Milwaukee salvaged at least one win in this West Coast road trip by knocking off a banged-up Clippers team. One interesting note is that Khris Middleton has been upgraded to questionable after a lengthy absence with an ankle injury. Look for this to be a back-and-forth game throughout, with the Bucks picking up the win and covering the spread at -2.5.