Bulls vs. Bucks NBA Game Betting Predictions 11/13/23

When: Monday, November 13th, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: Fiserv Forum, WI, Milwaukee

TV: NBCS

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Chi +8.5/Mil -8.5

Total: 228.5

Money Line: Chicago Bulls +281/-359

Notable Injuries

Bulls

• Alex Caruso (Questionable) Toe
• Lonzo Ball (Out) Knee
• Dalen Terry (Out) Patella

Bucks

• Jae Crowder (Out) Groin
• Damian Lillard (Probable) Calf
• Chris Livingston (Out) Ankle

Recent Form

Today, the Bulls are entering the action with an overall record of 4-6 and have achieved a 2-1 record over their last three games. Away from home, the Bulls have a 1-3 record this season while maintaining a 3-3 record in their home games.

Coming into today’s game vs. the Bulls, the Bucks are looking to build on their above .500 record of 5-4. The team is currently 8th in the Eastern Conference, and they are also 2nd in the Central Division.

The Historicals

The Bucks have had the better record vs the spread over the last 5 games, going 3-2. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 6 points per game. The over-under record in these same games is 2-3, with the teams combining for an average of 216 points per game.

Analysis

Chicago finished with 119 points in their game against the Pistons. This total surpasses their season average of 109.9 points per game. DeMar DeRozan is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 22.2 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Zach LaVine brings a PPG average of 22.1 into the game.

At this time, the Bulls’ defense is positioned 16th in the NBA, permitting 113.3 points per game.

The Chicago defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.0% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 47.1% of their field goal attempts vs. Chicago.

The Bucks’ offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 97 points versus the Magic. During the game, they attempted 29 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 49.4%. Currently leading the team in scoring is Giannis Antetokounmpo who comes into today’s matchup averaging 28.9. Damian Lillard also heads into the game with a PPG average of 24.3.

Currently, the Bucks’ defense holds the 25th rank in the NBA, allowing 119.3 points per game.

Opponents are hitting 55.7% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.6% of their three-point attempts.

Betting Trends

• Across the Bulls’ last ten road games, the team averaged 106 points per game while allowing 109. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-6, while going 4-6 straight-up.
• Across the Bucks’ last five home games, the team averaged 115 points per game while allowing 122. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-5, while going 1-4 straight-up.
• Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Bulls have a straight-up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
• Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Bucks have a good straight-up record, but their ATS mark is just 0-5.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

It’s easy to see why the Bucks are just 1-8 vs. the spread this season. They simply don’t defend. I see this trend continuing, as this is not a good matchup for the Bucks’ defense. DeMar DeRozan and Zach Lavine should be in line for big games. I like Chicago at +8.5.