Cavaliers vs. Warriors ATS Betting Insights for Dec. 30

Cleveland Cavaliers (27-4 SU, 22-9 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (16-15 SU, 16-15 ATS)

When: Monday, December 30th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Cle -4.5/GS +4.5

Total: 231.5

Money Line: Cleveland Cavaliers -191/+161

Notable Injuries

Cavaliers

• Isaac Okoro (Out) Shoulder

Warriors

• Gary Payton II (Out) Calf
• Moses Moody (Probable) Knee
• Brandin Podziemski (Out) Abdominal

The Golden State Warriors will host the Cleveland Cavaliers at 10:00 ET in a non-conference matchup. The Cavaliers are favored by 4.5 points and have a moneyline of -191. The over/under line is set at 231.5.

Golden State is 16-15 and currently sits 9th in the Western Conference. Cleveland is 27-4 and has won six straight games. This game will be played at Chase Center in San Francisco and can be seen on NBCS.

Recent Form

The Cavaliers improved to 27-4 this season with a 149-135 win over the Nuggets on Friday. Cleveland, favored by -3.5, covered the spread with a +14 point victory. The game’s total points of 284.5 exceeded the O/U line of 236.5 by 47.5 points.

A key moment came when Cleveland went on a 16-0 run, stretching the score from 53-52 to 69-52. They outscored Denver 40-27 in the 2nd quarter and maintained their lead by entering the 4th quarter up 116-101, despite being narrowly outscored 34-33 in the final period.

The Warriors moved above .500 for the season with a 109-105 win over the Suns on Saturday, bringing their record to 16-15. Golden State was favored by 6.5 points but didn’t cover the spread, and the total points of 214 fell short of the 220.5 O/U line.

After a 12-0 run by Phoenix put them up 55-43, the Warriors rallied. They closed the game strong, outscoring the Suns 27-18 in the 4th quarter to secure the win.

The Historicals

In terms of betting, Cleveland has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous five matchups vs Golden State. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +5 points per game in favor of the Cavaliers. Cleveland and Golden State averaged a combined 227 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

The Cavaliers put up 149 points in their win over the Nuggets, shooting 56.2% from the field and hitting 23 threes at a 47.9% clip. Donovan Mitchell led the way with 33 points, including 16 in the first quarter, and knocked down six threes.

Evan Mobley added 26 points, scoring 11 in the 3rd and 8 in the 4th, while Darius Garland contributed 25 points. Caris LeVert also chipped in 7 of his 13 points in the final period.

The Cavaliers struggled defensively, giving up 135 points to the Nuggets, who shot 56% from the field. Cleveland allowed 38 points in the 1st quarter and 36 in the 3rd, while Denver added 34 in the 4th.

From beyond the arc, the Nuggets hit 15 threes at a 48% clip. Cleveland sent Denver to the line 18 times, where they made 14 free throws. The Cavaliers finished with 10 steals and seven blocks.

Jonathan Kuminga’s 34-point performance, including 13 in the 4th quarter, helped the Warriors beat the Suns on Saturday. He shot 60% from the field, while Stephen Curry added 22 points, hitting four threes at 30.8%.

Draymond Green contributed 16 points, with 14 coming in the 2nd quarter, and Trayce Jackson-Davis also scored 16. The Warriors shot 41.8% overall, making 12 threes at 26.7%.

Despite giving up 38 points in the 2nd quarter, the Warriors tightened up defensively in the 2nd half, allowing just 40 points combined in the 3rd and 4th quarters to secure the win. They held the Suns to 42% shooting overall, including just 9 made threes on 25% shooting from beyond the arc.

Golden State sent Phoenix to the line 22 times, where they made 18 free throws. The Warriors grabbed 31 defensive rebounds but allowed 14 offensive boards. They also contributed eight steals and seven blocks in the game.

Betting Trends

• Across their ten previous road games, Cleveland has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 7-3 while averaging 120 points per game.
• Across the Warrior’s last three home games, the team averaged 99 points per game while allowing 116. Their record vs. the spread in these contests was 1-2 while going 1-2 straight-up.
• In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Warriors have a straight-up record of 3-7 and an ATS mark of 6-4.
• Cleveland has done well both straight up and vs. the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Cavs are coming off a huge win over the Nuggets, and their offense is humming right now, scoring at least 120 points in 5 straight games. Against the Nuggets, they put up 149. I just don’t see Golden State being able to slow down Cleveland tonight, I like the Cavs to cover.