Celtics vs. Bucks Game 4 Predictions

by | May 9, 2022 | nba

Boston Celtics (56-33 SU, 48-38-3 ATS) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (57-33 SU, 43-47-0 ATS)

When: Monday May 09 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

TV: TNT

Point Spread: BOS +1/MIL -1 (Opened MIL -1.5 at SportsBetting - Sweet website!)

Total: 212 (Opened at 210)

Money Line: Boston Celtics -107/Milwaukee Bucks -115

Power Rating: MIL -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics PG Marcus Smart, SG Jaylen Brown, SF Jayson Tatum, PF Al Horford, C Robert Williams

Milwaukee Bucks PG Jrue Holiday, SG Grayson Allen, SF Wesley Matthews, PF Giannis Antetokounmpo, C Brook Lopez

Key Injuries

Boston Celtics
Sam Hauser: Shoulder (OUT)

Milwaukee Bucks
Khris Middleton: Knee (OUT)

The Milwaukee Bucks host the Boston Celtics in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the Fiserv Forum.

Recent Form

The Boston Celtics come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 4th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Boston is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 25-19. Over their last five games, the Celtics have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Boston’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 105.0 points per game. Combined, the Celtics’ last five opponents are giving up 111.0 points per contest. The Celtics have been picking up wins while holding opponents to an average of 101.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 104.4. In the Boston Celtics’ most recent game, the team fell to Milwaukee by a score of 103-101.

The Milwaukee Bucks come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 3rd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Milwaukee is above .500 at home, holding a record of 30-15. The Bucks have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Milwaukee’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 105.0 points per game. Combined, the Bucks’ last five opponents are giving up 107.0 points per contest. The Bucks come into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 99.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 110.8. In the Milwaukee Bucks’ most recent game, Milwaukee took down Boston by a score of 103-101.

HEAT/CELTICS: HUGE *10* TOTAL! 13-3 RUN!

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Individual Player Analysis

As Boston travels to take on the Milwaukee Bucks, the Celtics’ leading scorer is Jayson Tatum. Through 76 games, Tatum is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 47.0% of his games. Against the Bucks, Tatum will need to be on top of his game as Milwaukee is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 46.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Giannis Antetokounmpo leads the Bucks in scoring, averaging 29 points across his 68 games. Throughout the season, Antetokounmpo has outscored his season average in 50.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Antetokounmpo will need to do so against a Celtics defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 37.5%. This figure is good for a rank of 1st in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Bucks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 111 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Milwaukee is winning at a rate of 68%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 14.0 points. On the other side, the Celtics hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 41 games as the better defensive team, picking up 23 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks have met up for 7 games. In their last meeting, Milwaukee picked up a 103-101 win.

How the Public is Betting the Celtics vs Bucks

67% are betting the Bucks against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 212

More Picks: Get Joe’s Memphis at Golden State Game 4 Pick ATS >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Celtics are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
  • Celtics are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
  • Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
  • Bucks are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 playoff games as a favorite.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Milwaukee Bucks come into game 4, looking to take a commanding 3-1 lead in their Eastern Conference semi-finals matchup with Boston. However, even though the Celtics dropped game 3, they have to feel good about taking Milwaukee down to the wire. Boston had a chance to win the game, even with Jayson Tatum having a miserable shooting performance. Look for the Celtics to cover the spread in game 4. Bet your Boston Celtics vs. Milwaukee Bucks pick and ALL your NBA bets for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100).