Grizzlies vs. Warriors Game 4 Picks & Predictions

by | Last updated May 9, 2022 | nba

Memphis Grizzlies (61-30 SU, 57-33-1 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (59-31 SU, 45-41-4 ATS)

When: Monday May 09 2022, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, California


Point Spread: MEM +10.5/GSW -10.5 (Opened GSW -9.5 at BetNow – Reward yourself with a 100% real cash bonus up to $500 when you use bonus code PREDICTEM when signing up!)

Total: 224.5 (Opened at 227)

Money Line: Memphis 405/Golden State -557

Power Rating:

Probable Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies PG Tyus Jones, SG Ziaire Williams, SF Desmond Bane, PF Jaren Jackson Jr., C Xavier Tillman

Golden State Warriors PG Stephen Curry, SG Klay Thompson, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Jonathan Kuminga, C Draymond Green

Key Injuries

Memphis Grizzlies
Ja Morant: Knee (DOUBTFUL)
Santi Aldama: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Dillon Brooks: Suspension (OUT)
Killian Tillie: Back (OUT)

Golden State Warriors
Andre Iguodala: Neck (OUT)
Gary Payton II: Elbow (OUT)
James Wiseman: Knee (OUT)

The Golden State Warriors host the Memphis Grizzlies in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 10:00 PM ET at the Chase Center.

Recent Form

The Memphis Grizzlies come into this game with an overall record of 56-26, placing them 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, Memphis is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 28-17. Over their last five games, the Grizzlies have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Memphis’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 112.0 points per game. Combined, the Grizzlies’ last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. Even though Memphis has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 115.0 points per game, up from the Grizzlies’ usual rate of 110.2. In the Memphis Grizzlies’ most recent game, the team fell to Golden State by a score of 142-112.

The Golden State Warriors come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 3rd in the Western Conference. So far, Golden State is above .500 at home, holding a record of 35-10. The Warriors have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Golden State is averaging 117.0 points per game, 5.0 points more than their season average of 111.7. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 110.0 points per contest. Even though the Warriors have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 112.0 points per game, up from Golden State’s usual rate of 105.9. In the Golden State Warriors’ most recent game, Golden State took down Memphis by a score of 142-112.


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Individual Player Analysis

As Memphis travels to take on the Golden State Warriors, they are likely to be without Ja Morant, who suffered a knee injury late in game 3. In his place, the team will look for Desmond Bane and Jaren Jackson to pick up the slack. During the season, Golden State allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 55.88% of their games. This figure places them 27th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Stephen Curry leads the Warriors in scoring, averaging 25 points across his 64 games. Throughout the season, Curry has outscored his season average in 45.0% of his outings. On the season, the Grizzlies have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.0% of their games, giving them a rank of 16th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Grizzlies come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 110.4 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Memphis is winning at a rate of 69%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 13.0 points. On the other side, the Warriors hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 40 games as the better defensive team, picking up 31 wins (78%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors have met up for 7 games. During the regular season, Memphis won 3 of their 4 matchups. In their last meeting, Golden State picked up a 142-112 win.

How the Public is Betting the Grizzlies vs Warriors

67% are betting the Warriors against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 224.5

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Grizzlies are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss.
  • Grizzlies are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 games following a ATS loss.
  • Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
  • Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

This Western Conference semi-finals matchup between Golden State and Memphis has already featured a lot of physical play on both sides. I expect this to intensify even more, as both teams are fighting for a birth in the Western Conference Finals. The big storyline heading into game 4 will be the status of Ja Morant after he hurt his knee at the end of game 3. Most of the post-game discussion surrounded whether Jordan Poole committed a dirty play when grabbing Morant’s knee. However, hidden in this talk is the fact that Golden State dominated the game. With Morant likely to miss game 4, look for the Warriors to cover the spread at home. Bet your Grizzlies/Warriors prediction and ALL your basketball wagers for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100).