Celtics vs. Bucks Spread Pick & Analysis

by | Last updated Mar 30, 2023 | nba

Boston Celtics (52-24 SU, 39-35-2 ATS) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (55-21 SU, 40-30-6 ATS)

When: Thursday, March 30th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Fiserv Forum, WI, Milwaukee


Point Spread: Bos +3/Mil -3 (Stop wasting your hard earned money! Stop laying -110 odds! Start saving huge money TODAY by making the switch to -105 odds at BAS Sportsbook! You’ll be so glad you took the 5 minutes to do so!)

Total: 236.5

Money Line: Boston Celtics +128/-153

Notable Injuries


  • Danilo Gallinari (Out) Knee
  • Robert Williams III (Questionable) Injury Management
  • Grant Williams (Questionable) Illness
  • Payton Pritchard (Questionable) Heel


  • Meyers Leonard (Out) Calf

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Boston is 52-24 overall. When taking to the road, Boston has a mark of 24-15 and a win percentage of 62%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 39-35-2 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past five games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS.

In their most recent matchup, the Wizards defeated Boston with a score of 130-111. Jayson Tatum scored the most points for the team with 28, but it was not enough to earn the win. The Celtics were 10 points ahead going into the game.

Heading into the game, Milwaukee is 55-21 overall. When playing at home, Milwaukee has a mark of 30-7 and a win percentage of 81%. Currently, the team is 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 40-30-6 vs. the spread. Milwaukee will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Boston as they are the winners of 2 straight games.

With their 149-136 win over the Pacers in their recent game, Milwaukee is looking to keep the momentum going. Jrue Holiday led the way for the Bucks with 51 points. In terms of the spread, both Milwaukee and the Pacers ended with an ATS push.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Celtics picked up the 139-118 win over the Bucks. The Celtics’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as a 5.5-point favorite. So far, the two teams have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. The Celtics have had the better record vs. the spread over the last five games, going 4-1. The team’s average scoring margin in these contests sits at 10 points per game. The over-under record in these same games is 3-2, with the teams combining for an average of 224 points per game.

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For the season, Boston has put together one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA at 118.0 points per game. When looking at their style of play, the team is currently near the league average in pace, averaging 99.5 possessions per contest. Boston’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. Not only are they among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game, but they are 6th in 3-point shooting percentage at 37.6%. Defensively, the Celtics have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 104.48 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 33.86%.

Jayson Tatum is the top scorer for the Celtics, with an average of 30.1 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 46.2%. Jaylen Brown is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 26.8 points per game.

This season, Milwaukee is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.2 points per game. So far, the Bucks are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.9 possessions per game. Milwaukee’s offensive attack has benefited from some hot shooting from outside. They are among the league leaders in 3-pointers attempted per game and 11th in 3-point shooting percentage at 36.5%. On defense, the Bucks are allowing an average of 112.13 points per game, placing them 19th in the league. So far, opposing teams are hitting 35.73% of their looks from deep vs. Milwaukee.

Coming into today’s game, Giannis Antetokounmpo is the leading scorer for Milwaukee at 31.2 points per game. This season, Antetokounmpo has a field goal percentage of 55.3%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Jrue Holiday, at 19.4 points per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The Celtics are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • The Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
  • The Bucks are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 0 days’ rest.
  • The Bucks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

I love betting the Celtics here at +3. They play the Bucks extremely tough and have beaten Milwaukee three out of the last four meetings. Another thing I like is that this is the Bucks first game back after a four-game road trip. It doesn’t always happen, but teams often come out flat in their first game back after a road trip. Good luck! Double your bankroll by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500 when you enter bonus promo code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook!