Celtics vs. Heat Game 5 Odds & Predictions

by | Last updated May 25, 2022 | nba

Boston Celtics (61-36 SU, 53-41-3 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (63-34 SU, 55-41-1 ATS)

When: Wednesday May 25 2022, 08:30 PM (ET)

Where: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida


Point Spread: BOS -1.5/MIA +1.5 (Opened BOS -1 at MyBookie – Use bonus code PREDICT100 to receive a 100% real cash bonus up to $300!)

Total: 203.5 (Opened at 203.5)

Money Line: Boston Celtics -123/Miami Heat 103

Power Rating: BOS -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics PG Derrick White, SG Jaylen Brown, SF Jayson Tatum, PF Al Horford, C Robert Williams Q

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry Q, SG Max Strus Q, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker Q, C Bam Adebayo

Key Injuries

Boston Celtics
Sam Hauser: Shoulder (QUESTIONABLE)
Marcus Smart: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)

Miami Heat
Tyler Herro: Quadricep (QUESTIONABLE)

The Miami Heat host the Boston Celtics in an Eastern-Conference Finals matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:30 PM ET at the FTX Arena.

Recent Form

The Boston Celtics come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 4th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Boston is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 28-20. Over their last five games, the Celtics have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Boston’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 110.0 points per game. Combined, the Celtics’ last five opponents are giving up 106.0 points per contest. Boston comes into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 98.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 104.1. In the Boston Celtics’ most recent game, Boston took down Miami by a score of 102-82

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 at home, holding a record of 36-13. The Heat have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 102.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 105.0 points per contest. The Heat have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 106.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 104.8. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, the team fell to Boston by a score of 102-82.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Boston travels to take on the Miami Heat, the Celtics’ leading scorer is Jayson Tatum. Through 76 games, Tatum is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 47.0% of his games. As Tatum gets set to take on the Heat, he could be in line for a big game as Miami is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.67% of their games. This figure places them 24th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in scoring, averaging 21 points across his 58 games. Throughout the season, Butler has outscored his season average in 50.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Butler will need to do so against a Celtics defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 43.08%. This figure is good for a rank of 6th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Boston Celtics are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 36 of Boston’s 41 games, leading to a winning percentage of 61%. So far, the Miami Heat have played 42 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 42 times, by an average margin of -15.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat have met up for 7 games. In their last meeting, Boston picked up a 102-82 win.

How the Public is Betting the Celtics vs Heat

67% are betting the Celtics against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 203.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Celtics are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
  • Celtics are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
  • Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals, the series is all tied up at 2-2. So far, both Boston and Miami have been able to pick up wins on the road. Even though the Heat will be playing at home, the Celtics are the betting favorite. In both of their wins, Boston has won by at least 20 points. For Miami, it comes down to if Jimmy Butler is healthy enough to carry the scoring load. In game 4, the Celtics held Butler to just 6 points in his 27 minutes of action. Look for Boston to pick up their second road win of the series, taking a 3-2 lead over Miami. I like the Celtics -1.5. Note: It’s a great day to take five minutes to save yourself thousands of dollars in wasted risk by making the switch to -105 odds at BetAnySports Sportsbook! Make the switch! You’ll be so glad you did!