Clippers vs. Bucks Betting Metrics, Advice, Free Pick

by | Last updated Mar 4, 2024 | nba

Los Angeles Clippers (39-20 SU, 31-28 ATS) vs. Milwaukee Bucks (40-21 SU, 26-35 ATS)

When: Monday, March 4th, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: Fiserv Forum, WI, Milwaukee


Point Spread: LAL +5/Mil -5

Total: 228.5

Money Line: Los Angeles Clippers +167/-202

Notable Injuries


  • Russell Westbrook (Out) Hand


  • Giannis Antetokounmpo (Questionable) Achilles
  • Khris Middleton (Out) Ankle
  • MarJon Beauchamp (Probable) Back
  • Chris Livingston (Doubtful) Groin

At 8:00 ET, the Los Angeles Clippers will travel to Milwaukee to take on the Bucks at Fiserv Forum. The Clippers (+167) are currently 39-20 and have won two straight games, while the Bucks (-202) are 40-21 and have won five straight.

This non-conference matchup will be shown on NBA TV and the over/under line is currently set at 228.5. Milwaukee is favored by five points.

Recent Form

The Clippers are 39-20 on the season and have won two straight games. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 4th place and are the top team in the Pacific Division.

On the road, the Clippers have an 18-12 record straight-up and are 16-14 against the spread. Their ATS win today is 2 games in a row, and their overall ATS record is 31-28.

As the underdog, the Clippers are 3-9 this season and are getting 5 points today. Their ATS record as the underdog is 4-8, and they are 12-12 straight-up.

In Clippers games this season, the average combined scoring total is 229.9 points, and today’s O/U line is 228.5. The team’s O/U record for the season is 25-33-1.

Los Angeles’ last game was a narrow 89-88 win over the Timberwolves. The O/U line for that game was 219.5, and the Clippers were 2.5-point underdogs.

The Bucks come into today’s game against the Clippers as 5-point favorites. This season, Milwaukee has been favored in 54 of their 61 games and has gone 39-15 in those games. As the favorite, they have won their last four games straight-up and have gone 24-30 ATS in those games.

In their last game against the Bulls, the Bucks won by a score of 113-97. They were favored by 3.5 points going into the game, and the win gave them a 16-point margin of victory. The O/U line for that game was 221.5.

On average, Bucks games have seen a combined scoring total of 238.6 points per game this season. Today’s O/U line is set at 228.5, and Milwaukee has seen an average O/U line of 237.4 points in their games.

Against the spread, the Bucks have covered in five straight games, improving their ATS record to 26-35 for the season. At home, they are 13-18 ATS compared to 13-17 ATS on the road.

Overall, the Bucks have a record of 40-21, which is good for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 11-8 and 29-13 against other Eastern Conference teams.

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The Historicals

In terms of betting, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous 5 matchups vs Milwaukee. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +4 points per game in favor of the Clippers. In these contests, they averaged a combined 238 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.


Heading into their game against the Bucks, the Clippers are 10th in the league in scoring at 117.4 points per game. Surprisingly, they have been slightly better on the road (117.2 PPG) compared to at home (117.5 PPG).

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Clippers are 14th in the NBA with an average of 12.9 made threes per game. Overall, they are 7th in field goal percentage at 49%. In terms of pace, the Clippers are 26th in the league.

So far this season, the Clippers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 50.8% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 21st in the league with an average of 25.9 per game.

Coming into the game, the Clippers defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 42.4% of their games. Currently, they are 9th in the NBA at 112.5 points per game allowed. The Los Angeles defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.6% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.9% of their field goal attempts vs. Los Angeles.

When it comes to scoring, the Bucks are one of the most potent offenses in the league, averaging 121.5 points per game. At home, they are even better, averaging 123.3 points per game.

In terms of pace, Milwaukee is 6th in the NBA, averaging 100.8 possessions per game. Their offensive style is heavily reliant on three-point shooting, as they are 6th in three-point attempts.

Overall, the Bucks are shooting 49% from the field, which is 6th in the league. In terms of free throws, they are 3rd in attempts and 4th in makes.

Defensively, the Bucks come into today’s game ranked 18th in the NBA at 117.1 points per game allowed. However, they have shown signs of improvements lately, ranking 23rd in the league over their last three games. The Milwaukee defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.0% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.9% of their field goal attempts vs. Milwaukee.

Betting Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Los Angeles has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 115 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last three home games, Milwaukee has averaged 114 points per game while allowing 98. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
  • Los Angeles has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Milwaukee has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 7-3 straight up.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Tonight’s matchup between the Clippers and Bucks should be a fun one. The Bucks have been streaking after the All-Star Break and have hopefully turned the corner on their inconsistent play for much of the season. On the other end, the Clippers have won two straight, including an impressive road win over the Timberwolves. However, they are catching a Bucks squad that has been off since Friday, while the Clippers played last night. I’m taking the Bucks at -5.