Clippers vs Kings Picks: Betting Predictions for Nov 29

by | Last updated Nov 29, 2023 | nba

Los Angeles Clippers (7-9 SU, 6-10 ATS) vs. Sacramento Kings (10-6 SU, 9-7 ATS)

When: Wednesday, November 29th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Golden 1 Center, CA, Sacramento

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: LAC -1.5/Sac +1.5

Total: 230.5

Money Line: Los Angeles Clippers -126/+105

Notable Injuries

Clippers

  • Mason Plumlee (Out) Knee
  • Brandon Boston Jr. (Out) Quadriceps

Kings

  • Alex Len (Out) Ankle
  • Keegan Murray (Out) Back

Recent Form

So far this season, the Clippers have a record of just 7-9, as they look to pick up a win over the Kings. The Clippers have a 2-6 record on the road this season, compared to their 5-3 record when playing at home.

Coming into today’s matchup, the Kings will be looking to build on their current two-game winning streak and their overall record is currently 10-6. The team is presently 6th in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Pacific division.

The Historicals

Through the last 5 head-to-head matchups, neither team has gotten a leg up on the spread, each sitting at 2-2-1. In addition, the games have been competitive, with an average of just 1 point per game separating the teams. In these contests, they averaged a combined 251 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

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Analysis

Compared to their season average of 111.8 points per game, the Clippers struggled in their previous game. Against the Nuggets, the Clippers scored 104 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 41.2%. On offense, the Clippers have been struggling with their efficiency, coming into today’s game with a field goal percentage of 46%. So far, they are 9th in free-throws made on a free-throw shooting percentage of 77%.

Coming into the game, the Clippers’ defense has held opposing teams to fewer points than the league average in 25.0% of their games. Currently, they are 6th in the NBA at 108.4 points per game allowed.

When it comes to forced turnovers, the Clippers are forcing 13.9 per game, which is 17th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 19th in blocked shots at 4.8 per game.

In their latest game, the Kings’ offense put up 124 points against the Warriors. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.1% and made 15 threes. De’Aaron Fox led the scoring for the Kings, contributing 29 points. Additionally, Malik Monk chipped in with 21 points.

So far, the Kings’ defense is ranked 21st in the league at 115.8 points per contest.

When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Kings squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.3% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 37.1% from downtown.

Betting Trends

  • Across their five previous road games, Los Angeles has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 112 points per game.
  • In their last five home games, Sacramento has averaged 117 points per game while allowing 118. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • The Kings have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.
  • Although the Clippers have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Kings are coming off a wild win over Golden State last night but head into the game as 1.5-point underdogs at home to Los Angeles. This will be the first matchup of the season between the teams, and I see the Clippers actually benefiting from playing a Sacramento team that wants to get out and run. I like the Clippers as -1.5-point favorites.