Clippers vs Warriors Prediction: Expert Pick for Nov 30 NBA Game

by | Nov 30, 2023 | nba

Los Angeles Clippers (8-9 SU, 7-10 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (8-10 SU, 6-11 ATS)

When: Thursday, November 30th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: LAC +5/GS -5

Total: 227

Money Line: Los Angeles Clippers +172/-208

Notable Injuries

Clippers

  • Mason Plumlee (Out) Knee
  • Norman Powell (Questionable) Knee
  • Brandon Boston Jr. (Out) Quadriceps

Warriors

  • Chris Paul (Out) Leg
  • Gary Payton II (Out) Calf
  • Usman Garuba (Out) Dislocated Finger

Recent Form

The Clippers can return to .500 with a win over the Warriors, given their current overall season record of 8-9. Across their 17 games, the Clippers have recorded a 7-7 record when facing teams from the Western Conference and a 1-2 record in non-conference games.

So far this season, the Warriors have a record of just 8-10 as they look to pick up a win over the Clippers. During their 18 games, the Warriors have gone 7-8 against teams in the Western Conference and 1-2 in non-conference matchups.

The Historicals

Across the previous five meetings between the teams, the Warriors have an average scoring margin of +8 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. Over the course of these games, they averaged 232 points per game, leading a 3-2 over-under record.

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Analysis

The Clippers’ offense is coming off a game in which they scored 131 points vs. the Kings. Overall their field goal percentage was 53.8% while connecting on 14 threes. In terms of offense, the Clippers have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 19th in the NBA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 14th in percentage and 20th in three-pointers made.

This season, the Clippers’ defense has been impressive, holding the 6th position in the league while permitting an average of 108.9 points per contest.

Inside the arc, the Clippers’ defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.1% and 34.0% from three-point territory.

Golden State’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 123 points vs. the Kings. Overall, they hit 48.2% of their shots from the field and went 26/30 from the free-throw line. Stephen Curry is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 29.7 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Klay Thompson brings a PPG average of 15.3 into the game.

The Warriors’ defense is presently ranked 20th in the league, allowing an average of 114.6 points per contest.

So far this season, the Warriors’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 2nd in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 26.5 times per game vs. Golden State.

Betting Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Los Angeles has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 116 points per game.
  • In their last five home games, Golden State has averaged 113 points per game while allowing 115. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-4 while going 3-2.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Clippers have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • Through their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a good straight-up record, but their ATS mark is just 0-3.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

We got the Clippers over the Kings pick right last night, but now we are going to fade LA playing on back-back-nights. Right now, the Warriors are favored by 5 at home. Look for Golden State to take care of business and cover the spread tonight vs. the Clippers.