Expert Picks for Clippers vs. Nuggets – NBA Betting Preview

by | Last updated Nov 14, 2023 | nba

Los Angeles Clippers (3-6 SU, 3-6 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS)

When: Tuesday, November 14th, 10:00 PM (ET)

Where: Ball Arena, CO, Denver

TV: TNT

Point Spread: LAL +6.5/Den -6.5

Total: 223.5

Money Line: Los Angeles Clippers +208/-261

Notable Injuries

Clippers

  • Mason Plumlee (Out) Knee
  • Brandon Boston Jr. (Out) Quadriceps

Nuggets

  • Jamal Murray (Out) Hamstring
  • Vlatko Cancar (Out) Knee

Recent Form

Facing the Nuggets, the Clippers currently hold an overall record of 3-6 and aim to end their five game losing streak. The Western Conference sees the Clippers currently at 11th, and in the Pacific division, they are 5th.

The Nuggets head into today’s action with an overall record of 8-2 and have gone 3-0 over their previous three games. The Western Conference sees the Nuggets currently at 1st, and in the Northwest division, they are 1st.

The Historicals

Across the previous 5 meetings between the teams, the Nuggets have an average scoring margin of +15 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 5-0. The over-under record in these same games is 2-3, with the teams combining for an average of 229 points per game.

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Analysis

Coming off their recent game, the Clippers offense tallied 101 points in a matchup against the Grizzlies. Their field goal percentage for the game was 43.5%, and they made 12 threes. Paul George is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 23.6. Meanwhile, Kawhi Leonard also brings a PPG average of 21.1 into the game.

At present, the Clippers’ defense is ranked 12th, allowing 111.8 points per game.

The Clippers defense is coming off a game in which they held the Grizzlies offense to just 43.5% shooting. Overall, they gave up 105 points to Memphis.

Against the Rockets, the Nuggets had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 114.8 points per game. They scored 104 points and posted a field goal percentage of 46.2% in the game. In terms of offense, the Nuggets have a season-long field goal percentage of 50%, putting them 1st in the NBA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 16th in percentage and 18th in three-pointers made.

Coming into the game, the Nuggets defense has held opposing teams to fewer points than the league average in 20.0% of their games. Currently, they are 5th in the NBA at 106.1 points per game allowed.

In the terms of takeaways, the Nuggets are causing 12.2 turnovers per game, ranking 4th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 5th in rejections, averaging 6.3 blocked shots each game.

Betting Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Clippers have a straight up record of 2-8 while going 2-8 vs. the spread. The team averaged 114 points per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last ten home games, Denver has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 112 points per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Clippers have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.
  • The last ten games that Denver was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 8-2 straight up.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

It’s safe to say that the addition of James Harden has not worked out so far. If the Clippers are going to snap their five-game losing streak, it will need to come against the defending champs. Look for Nikola Jokic to put together a huge game and for Los Angeles’ woes to continue. I like Denver at -6.5.