Free NBA Picks: Pelicans vs. Warriors Predictions for Jan 10

New Orleans Pelicans (22-15 SU, 21-16 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (17-19 SU, 16-19 ATS)

When: Wednesday, January 10th, 8:30 PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center, CA, San Francisco

TV: ABC

Point Spread: NO -1/GS +1 (STOP betting games at -110! Start laying only -105 at BAS Sportsbook!)

Total: 233

Money Line: New Orleans Pelicans -110/-110

Notable Injuries

Pelicans

• Zion Williamson (Questionable) Leg
• Jose Alvarado (Questionable) Illness
• Matt Ryan (Out) Elbow

Warriors

• Draymond Green (Out) Conditioning
• Chris Paul (Out) Hand
• Gary Payton II (Out) Hamstring

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, the Pelicans are 22-15 overall and are 6th in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, New Orleans is 7-2 compared to 15-13 in the West.

When playing on the road, the Pelicans have gone 10-7 and have a scoring margin of +3.3 points per game. They have won six straight games on the road and have gone 4-5 vs. other Southwest Division teams.

At home, the Pelicans are 12-8 and have a scoring margin of +4.9 points per game. Their average scoring margin as the home team is higher than their average margin on the road.

When it comes to being favored, the Pelicans have a record of 12-8 and have won three straight games as the favorite. On the road, they are 9-8 against the spread.

So far, the Pelicans have an over/under record of 17-20. Their games have averaged 227.4 points per game, which is lower than today’s over/under line of 233. New Orleans has gone under the over/under line in two straight games.

At 17-19, the Warriors are 12th in the Western Conference and 5th in the Pacific Division. In their last game, they were 2-point favorites against the Raptors but lost 133-118. This season, the Warriors have been the favorite in 22 games and have gone 14-8 straight up and 7-15 ATS.

When playing at home, the Warriors are 11-10 and have an average scoring margin of -0.7 points per game. Against the spread, they are 7-13 at home and have failed to cover the spread in their last two games at home.

When playing on the road, the Warriors are 6-9 and have an average scoring margin of +1.4 points per game. Their road ATS record is 9-6.

So far, the Warriors have been the underdog in 14 games and have gone 3-11 straight up and 9-4 ATS. They have failed to cover the spread in their last two games as the underdog.

On average, the Warriors’ games have a combined total of 234.1 points, and their over/under record for the season is 20-15-1. Today’s over/under line of 233 is lower than their season average of 230.7.

The Historicals

Through the last 5 matchups between the teams, Golden State has an ATS mark of 4-1. But, looking at the scoring margin in these games, an average of just 1 point per game separates the teams. A combined average of 219 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

Analysis

When it comes to scoring, the Pelicans have been one of the more efficient teams in the league this season. They are 12th in the NBA in scoring at 115.8 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 116.1 points per game.

So far, New Orleans has outscored the NBA scoring average in 51.4% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 19th in the league at 98.5 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Pelicans are 8th in field goal percentage at 48%. They are also one of the better teams in the league at getting to the free-throw line, ranking 5th in free-throw attempts per game.

At present, the Pelicans’ defense is ranked 10th, allowing 111.6 points per game. New Orleans’ defense is currently forcing 13 turnovers per game, which is 16th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 21st in blocked shots, with an average of 4.9 rejections per game.

When playing at home, the Warriors are averaging 116.3 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. Overall, they are 10th in the league in scoring at 117.1 points per game.

Golden State is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, ranking 4th in made threes per game at 14.8. However, they are just 23rd in field goal percentage at 46%.

In terms of pace, the Warriors are 14th in the NBA at 99.2 possessions per game. When compared to the NBA scoring average, Golden State has outscored it in 55.6% of their games this season.

At present, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 21st, allowing 116.9 points per game. In their previous game, the Warriors’ defense struggled against the Raptors, giving up 133 points on a field goal percentage of 58%.

Betting Trends

• In their last three road games, New Orleans has averaged 124 points per game while allowing 103. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
• Across the Warriors last five home games, the team averaged 119 points per game while allowing 122. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3 while going 1-4 straight-up.
• As the betting underdog, the Warriors have an ATS mark of just 6-3-1 in their last ten games. Golden State posted a straight up mark of 1-9 in these matchups.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Pelicans have a strong straight-up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

My point-spread play for this New Orleans vs. Golden State match is to take the Pelicans to pick up the win and cover at -1. Golden State barely squeaked past Detroit last Friday and were smoked by the Raptors at home on Sunday. I’m taking New Orleans at -1. Also be sure to check out our free college basketball picks each day of the season!