Golden State at Brooklyn Prediction ATS 11/16/21

by | Nov 16, 2021 | nba

Golden State Warriors (11-2 SU, 8-4-1 ATS) vs. Brooklyn Nets (10-4 SU, 7-7 ATS)

When: Tuesday November 16 2021, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: Barclays Center: Brookyln, New York


Point Spread: GSW 3.5/(BRO -3.5 (Opened at BRO -3.5)

Total: 220.5 (Opened at 220)

Money Line: Golden State 130/Brooklyn -150

Power Rating: Brooklyn -4
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Probable Starting Lineups

Warriors: PG Stephen Curry, SG Jordan Poole , SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Draymond Green, C Kevon Looney

Nets: PG James Harden, SG Bruce Brown, SF Deandre Bembry, PF Kevin Durant, C Blake Griffin

Key Injuries

Gary Payton II: knee (PROBABLE) Klay Thompson: knee (QUESTIONABLE) James Wiseman: knee (OUT)

Nicolas Claxton: illness (QUESTIONABLE) Joe Harris: ankle (OUT) Kyrie Irving: personal (OUT) Paul Millsap: personal (OUT)

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors enter today’s game, winning 8 of their past ten games. When playing away from home, the Warriors are an above .500 team, having gone 3-1. As the road tea, Golden State travels to Brooklyn with a positive plus-minus rating of 5.8 points. Overall the Warriors are ranked 1st among NBA teams in point differential (0.9). Among NBA teams, they have played the 29th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Golden State Warriors to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they are covering the spread in 66.70% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 6.9.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Stephen Curry. So far, Curry is averaging 28.08 points per game. This output places him 1st in his position group. Curry has also been the team’s leading three-point shooter, connecting on five threes per game. Draymond Green has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 8.08 boards per game.

The Brooklyn Nets enter today’s game, having won 3 straight games.
In their past ten contests, the Nets have played at an above .500 rate, going 8-2. This has come while playing the 21st toughest schedule. As they get set to host the Warriors, Brooklyn has a positive home plus-minus of 4.5 points. Overall, Brooklyn is ranked 7th among NBA teams in point differential (4.8).

For bettors, taking the Brooklyn Nets to cover the spread has yet to pay off as they have covered in 50.00% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is -1.1.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is SF Kevin Durant. So far, Durant is averaging 29.64 points per game. Durant also leads the team in rebounding, averaging 8.36 per game. The Nets’ best three-point shooter has been James Harden, connecting on 3.0 shots from downtown per game.

An Eye On Pace

A key matchup to watch in this game is how Brooklyn stands up against the Warriors’ fast-paced style of play. To go along with this up-tempo style, Golden State generates an increased number of three-point looks. On average, the team shoots over three shots from behind the arc more than most NBA teams. The Warriors convert these looks 37% of the time.

The Brooklyn Nets will also be forced to contend with a Warriors team leading the league in fast break points. If the Nets have an off-shooting night, this will mean Golden State will have even more opportunities to get out and run.

On offense, Brooklyn will have to be on top of their game, facing a Warriors defense giving up 8 points below the league average. One reason for this is their ability to keep teams away from the basket. So far, the Warriors have their opponents to settle for long-range two-point shots or three-pointers. Luckily for the Nets, they are right at home shooting from outside as James Harden and Kevin Durant can knock down shots from anywhere on the court.

The Historicals

These two teams met up for two non-conference games last season, with Brooklyn taking each matchup. Combined, the Nets outscored the Warriors by a score of 259-216.

How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs. Nets

61% are betting the Nets against the spread.

54% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 220.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Warriors are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog.
  • Nets are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games.
  • Nets are 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

Between Kevin Durant, James Harden, and Steph Curry, this game is complete with a lot of star power, making it tonight’s must-watch contest. Look for this game to feature a lot of scoring. Even though the Warriors have been a solid defensive team, they often struggle against very efficient offensive units. Harden and Durant will challenge the Warriors defenders to stay disciplined and play good defense without fouling. Even though Golden State has been one of the season’s top stories, I am taking Brooklyn to cover the spread.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

In this game, I recommend sticking with the star players when making prop bets. There is no one on Brooklyn’s team receiving regular minutes interested in running all over the court to guard Steph Curry. Look for the former MVP to have one of his classic performances. Between Durant and Harden, I will take Durant to go over his point total. Draymond Green will try to take the primary defensive load on Durant but won’t be able to do enough to slow him down. Did you know that we also offer free daily college basketball picks?