Atlanta Hawks vs. Washington Wizards: NBA Betting Predictions – Nov 25, 2023

Atlanta Hawks (7-7 SU, 4-10 ATS) vs. Washington Wizards (2-13 SU, 7-8 ATS)

When: Saturday, November 25th, 7:00 PM (ET)

Where: Capital One Arena, DC, Washington

TV: MNMT

Point Spread: Atl -8/Wash +8

Total: 248.5

Money Line: Atlanta Hawks -337/+268

Notable Injuries

Hawks

• Mouhamed Gueye (Out) Back
• Kobe Bufkin (Out) Thumb

Wizards

• Delon Wright (Out) Knee
• Ryan Rollins (Out) Knee
• Bilal Coulibaly (Questionable) Knee

Recent Form

The Hawks head into today’s action with an overall record of 7-7 and have gone 1-2 over their previous three games. This season, when playing on the road, the Hawks have a 4-2 record, while their record at home is 3-5.

So far this season, the Wizards have a record of just 2-13, as they look to pick up a win over the Hawks. The Eastern Conference sees the Wizards currently at 14th, and in the Southeast division, they are 5th.

The Historicals

In terms of betting vs the spread, the Wizards have gone 3-2, but the Hawks actually have a positive scoring differential. In these meetings, Atlanta has averaged 123 points per contest, while allowing 116. A combined average of 239 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 4-1.

Analysis

Atlanta’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 147 points against the Nets. They had an overall field goal percentage of 44% and made 27/29 free throws. Currently leading the team in scoring is Trae Young, who comes into today’s matchup averaging 26. Dejounte Murray also heads into the game with a PPG average of 21.6.

Coming into the game, the Hawks’ defense is giving up an average of 122.6 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 78.6% of their games.

Atlanta struggled on the boards in their last game vs. the Nets, giving up 22. For the game, Brooklyn scored 145 points in the game.

Washington’s offense had a good outing, putting up 128 points against the Bucks. They achieved a 48% field goal percentage and went 17/21 from the free-throw line. In terms of offense, the Wizards have a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, putting them 9th in the NBA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 18th in percentage and 16th in three-pointers made.

Looking at the Wizards defense, they will be looking for a better performance, considering they are currently conceding 124.3 points per game (29th).

The Washington defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.2% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 50.4% of their field goal attempts vs. Washington.

Betting Trends

• Across their ten previous road games, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 116 points per game.
• In their last five home games, Washington has averaged 115 points per game while allowing 115. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-4 while going 4-1.
• In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Wizards have a straight-up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 2-1.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Hawks have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 0-3.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

Even though the Hawks head into this one with the rest advantage, as the Wizards played last night against the Bucks, I see this spread sitting too high at -8 in favor of Atlanta. Washington may only have two wins, but they took Milwaukee to the wire last night and are nearly .500 vs. the spread this season. I like Washington +8 at home.