Heat vs. Celtics Game 6 Predicted Spread Winner

by | Last updated May 27, 2022 | nba

Miami Heat (63-35 SU, 55-42-1 ATS) vs. Boston Celtics (62-36 SU, 54-41-3 ATS)

When: Friday May 27 2022, 08:30 PM (ET)

Where: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts


Point Spread: MIA +8.5/BOS -8.5 (Opened BOS -8.5 at GTBets – They offer Predictem readers a SPECIAL 100% bonus up to $500!)

Total: 201 (Opened at 200.5)

Money Line: Miami Heat +323/Boston Celtics -422

Power Rating: BOS -8

Probable Starting Lineups

Boston Celtics PG Derrick White, SG Jaylen Brown, SF Jayson Tatum, PF Al Horford, C Robert Williams Q

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry Q, SG Max Strus Q, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker Q, C Bam Adebayo

Key Injuries

Miami Heat
P.J. Tucker: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Gabe Vincent: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE)
Kyle Lowry: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE)
Max Strus: Hamstring (QUESTIONABLE)
Tyler Herro: Quadricep (QUESTIONABLE)

Boston Celtics
Sam Hauser: Shoulder (OUT)
Marcus Smart: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Robert Williams III: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)

The Boston Celtics host the Miami Heat in an Eastern Conference Finals matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:30 PM ET at the TD Garden.

Recent Form

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 27-21. Over the Heat’s last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Miami’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 98.0 points per game. Combined, the Heat’s last five opponents are giving up 104.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Heat are allowing an average of 106.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 104.7. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, the team fell to Boston by a score of 93-80.

The Boston Celtics come into this game with an overall record of 51-31, placing them 4th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Boston is above .500 at home, holding a record of 33-16. The Celtics have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Boston’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 106.0 points per game. Combined, the Celtics’ last five opponents are giving up 105.0 points per contest. The Celtics come into this game also playing well defensively, holding their opponents to just 98.0 points per game. An improvement on their season average of 103.9. In the Boston Celtics’ most recent game, Boston took down Miami by a score of 93-80.


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Individual Player Analysis

As Miami travels to take on the Boston Celtics, the Heat’s leading scorer is Jimmy Butler. Through 58 games, Butler is averaging 21 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 50.0% of his games. Against the Celtics, Butler will need to be on top of his game as Boston is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 30.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Jayson Tatum leads the Celtics in scoring, averaging 26 points across his 76 games. Throughout the season, Tatum has outscored his season average in 47.0% of his outings. On the season, the Heat have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.0% of their games, giving them a rank of 14th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Boston Celtics are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 36 of Boston’s 80 games, leading to a winning percentage of 64%. So far, the Miami Heat have played 5 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 5 times, by an average margin of -18.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics have met up for 8 games. In their last meeting, Boston picked up a 93-80 win.

How the Public is Betting the Heat vs Celtics

67% are betting the Celtics against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 201

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Miami is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Boston
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 7 games on the road
  • Boston is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games
  • Boston is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Miami Heat come into game 6 needing a win to keep their season alive. However, if they are to pull off the win, they will do so as road underdogs. But, as the series has progressed, Miami’s offense has become more and more lackluster. In their last 2 contests, the Celtics held the Heat to just 82 and 80 points, respectively. Look for Boston to punch their ticket to the NBA Finals with a decisive win over Miami. I like the Celtics to cover the spread. Bet your Heat/Celtics prediction for FREE by scoring a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit up to $300 when you use bonus code PREDICT100 when you register or a new betting account at MyBookie Sportsbook! Already have an account there and want a 100% real cash bonus? You can get the same offer, but up to $500 when you use bonus code PREDICTEM at Betnow Sportsbook!