Heat vs. Hawks Game 3 Odds & Picks

by | Apr 22, 2022 | nba

Miami Heat (55-29 SU, 48-35-1 ATS) vs. Atlanta Hawks (45-41 SU, 39-47-0 ATS)

When: Friday April 22 2022, 07:00 PM (ET)

Where: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, Georgia

TV: N

Point Spread: MIA -2/ATL +2 (Opened MIA -2 at MyBookie - Use bonus code PREDICT100 and receive a 100% real cash bonus up to $300!)

Total: 220 (Opened at 221.5)

Money Line: Miami Heat -115/Atlanta Hawks -105

Power Rating: MIA -3

Probable Starting Lineups

Atlanta Hawks PG Trae Young, SG Kevin Huerter, SF De’Andre Hunter, PF Danilo Gallinari, C Onyeka Okongwu

Miami Heat PG Kyle Lowry, SG Max Strus, SF Jimmy Butler, PF P.J. Tucker Q, C Bam Adebayo Q

Key Injuries

Miami Heat
Gabe Vincent: Toe (PROBABLE)
P.J. Tucker: Calf (QUESTIONABLE)
Markieff Morris: Hip (QUESTIONABLE)
Caleb Martin: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE)
Bam Adebayo: Quadricep (QUESTIONABLE)

Atlanta Hawks
Lou Williams: Back (OUT)
Clint Capela: Knee (OUT)
Chaundee Brown: Illness (OUT)

The Atlanta Hawks host the Miami Heat in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:00 PM ET at the State Farm Arena.

Recent Form

The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 53-29, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 24-17. Over their last five games, the Heat have played well, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Miami is averaging 120.0 points per game, 10.0 points more than their season average of 110.1. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 113.0 points per contest. Even though Miami has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 109.0 points per game, up from the Heat’s usual rate of 105.4. In game 2 of this series, Miami picked up the 115-105 win.

The Atlanta Hawks come into this game with an overall record of 43-39, placing them 10nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Atlanta is above .500 at home, holding a record of 28-14. The Hawks have played well over their last five games, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Atlanta’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 113.0 points per game. Combined, the Hawks’ last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. The Hawks have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 110.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 112.2.

Individual Player Analysis

As Miami travels to take on the Atlanta Hawks, the Heat’s leading scorer is Jimmy Butler. Through 58 games, Butler is averaging 21 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 50.0% of his games. So far, the Hawks are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.76% of their games, placing them 11th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Trae Young leads the Hawks in scoring, averaging 28 points across his 76 games. Throughout the season, Young has outscored his season average in 50.0% of his outings. Given that Miami’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Trae Young should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Heat have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 51.67% of their games, giving them a rank of 24th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Hawks come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 112.7 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Atlanta is winning at a rate of 68%. These wins are coming by an average margin of 13.0 points. On the other side, the Heat hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 36 games as the better defensive team, picking up 21 wins.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Miami Heat and Atlanta Hawks have met up for 6 games. with the Heat picking up 5 wins.

How the Public is Betting the Heat vs Hawks

67% are betting the Heat against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 220

More Picks: Get Joe’s ‘Bucks vs. Bulls Predicted Point Spread Winner >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Hawks are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
  • Heat are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Heading into game 3 of this series, the Atlanta Hawks are in need of a win after dropping the first two games. After finishing the regular season with the 3rd highest three-point percentage at 37%, the team’s outside stroke has yet to show up. In game 1, Atlanta hit just 27.8% from deep while only experiencing a slight improvement in game 2 at 30%. For Miami, locking down the perimeter is customary for the team, as they led the NBA in opponent three-point shooting percentage at just 33.8%. When looking at the betting lines, Miami comes in as the 2 point favorite on the road. Even though the Hawks will benefit from having their home-court crowd behind them, I expect the Heat to weather the storm and pick up the road win. I recommend taking Miami to cover the spread. Note: Most basketball bettors aren’t aware that they could be risking only -105 odds on sides and totals instead of -110! Can you imagine how many thousands of dollars you’d have saved over the years if you were betting on games at discounted odds? Start betting smarter by making the switch to BetAnySports!