Indiana Pacers vs. Memphis Grizzlies Prediction ATS

by | Mar 24, 2022 | nba

Indiana Pacers (25-48 SU, 33-38-2 ATS) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (50-23 SU, 47-26-0 ATS)

When: Thursday March 24 2022, 08:00 PM (ET)

Where: FedEx Forum, Memphis, Tennesee

TV: BSIN

Point Spread: IND +12.5/MEM -12.5 (Opened MEM -12.5 at BAS - They let you bet on games at -105 instead of -110! This saves you HUGE money!)

Total: 236 (Opened at 235.5)

Money Line: Indiana 609/Memphis -928

Power Rating: MEM -13

Probable Starting Lineups

Indiana Pacers PG Malcolm Brogdon Q, SG Tyrese Haliburton, SF Buddy Hield, PF Oshae Brissett, C Goga Bitadze

Memphis Grizzlies PG Ja Morant Q, SG Dillon Brooks, SF Desmond Bane, PF Jaren Jackson Jr., C Steven Adams

Key Injuries

Indiana Pacers
Isaiah Jackson: Head (QUESTIONABLE)
Chris Duarte: Toe (QUESTIONABLE)
Jalen Smith: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)
Myles Turner: Foot (OUT)
T.J. Warren: Foot (OUT)
Ricky Rubio: Knee (OUT)
T.J. McConnell: Wrist (OUT)

Memphis Grizzlies
Killian Tillie: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)
Ja Morant: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)

The Memphis Grizzlies host the Indiana Pacers in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:00 PM ET at the FedEx Forum.

Recent Form

The Indiana Pacers come into this game with an overall record of 25-48, placing them 13rd in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, Indiana has struggled in their 36 road contests, sitting at 9-27. Over the Pacers’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. During this stretch, Indiana is averaging 118.0 points per game, 7.0 points more than their season average of 110.9. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 114.0 points per contest. A key reason for Indiana’s recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 118.0 points over their previous five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 113.1. In the Indiana Pacers’ most recent game, the team fell to Sacramento by a score of 110-109.

The Memphis Grizzlies come into this game with an overall record of 50-23, placing them 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, Memphis is above .500 at home, holding a record of 25-10. The Grizzlies have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Memphis is averaging 124.0 points per game, 9.0 points more than their season average of 114.9. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 113.0 points per contest. The Grizzlies have been picking up victories while holding opponents to an average of 112.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 109.5. In the Memphis Grizzlies’ most recent game, Memphis took down Brooklyn by a score of 132-120.

Individual Player Analysis

As Indiana travels to take on the Memphis Grizzlies, the Pacers’ leading scorer is Malcolm Brogdon. Through 40 games, Brogdon is averaging 19 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 40.0% of his games. So far, the Grizzlies are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 46.43% of their games, placing them 11th among NBA defenses. On the other side, the Grizzlies have shown signs of slowing down when playing without Ja Morant. Given that Indiana’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, look for Desmond Bane, Dillon Brooks, and Jaren Jackson Jr, to have big nights scoring. So far, the Pacers have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 55.0% of their games, giving them a rank of 26th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Memphis Grizzlies are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 28 of Memphis’s 70 games, leading to a winning percentage of 71%. So far, the Indiana Pacers have played 15 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 15 times, by an average margin of -8.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Indiana Pacers and Memphis Grizzlies have met up for one game. Memphis took game one by a score of 135-102.

How the Public is Betting the Pacers vs Grizzlies

67% are betting the Grizzlies against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 235.5

More Picks: Get our capper’s take on the Cavs at Raptors 3/24/22 game >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Pacers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Pacers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Grizzlies are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
  • Grizzlies are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Both the Indiana Pacers and Memphis Grizzlies come into this game, having played just last night. Even without Ja Morant, the Grizzlies were able to fend off a Nets team hungry to work their way up the Eastern Conference standings. On the other side, Indiana fell just short in a home loss to Sacramento. With Morant listed as questionable, keep an eye on the injury report for his status. However, even if he is able to give it a go, I don’t expect him to play major minutes. Heading into the game, the betting line is sitting 12.5 points in favor of the Grizzlies. Even though Memphis will pull out the win, look for the Pacers to cover. Question: Do you live bet games? If so, you seriously need to check out the INCREDIBLE live wagering platform at Bovada Sportsbook! It’s the BEST!