Indiana Pacers vs. New York Knicks Game 2 Predictions

by | Last updated May 8, 2024 | nba

Indiana Pacers (47-35 SU, 48-39 ATS) vs. New York Knicks (50-32 SU, 48-40 ATS)

When: Wednesday, May 8th, 8:00 PM (ET)

Where: Madison Square Garden, NY, New York

TV: TNT

Point Spread: Ind +4.5/NY -4.5 (Grab a 100% bonus!)

Total: 222.5

Money Line: Indiana Pacers +155/-187

Notable Injuries

Pacers

  • Tyrese Haliburton (Questionable) Back
  • Bennedict Mathurin (Out) Shoulder

Knicks

  • Bojan Bogdanovic (Out) Ankle
  • Julius Randle (Out) Shoulder
  • Mitchell Robinson (Out) Ankle

The Pacers and Knicks are set to tip-off game two of this Eastern Conference first-round series at 8:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden. The Knicks currently lead the series 1-0 and are favored by 4.5 points. The over/under line is sitting at 222.5, and the money line odds are +155 for the Pacers and -187 for the Knicks. TNT is carrying the game on TV.

The most recent game in this Pacers vs. Knicks series saw the Knicks come out on top by a score of 121-117. Heading into the game, the Pacers were actually favored by 6 points, so they covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was 217.5 points, and the teams combined for 238 points, which was 20.5 points above the line. The Pacers had a big 2nd quarter, outscoring the Knicks 31-22.

Jalen Brunson had a huge game for the Knicks, finishing with 43 points, 6 assists, and 6 rebounds. He was the game’s leading scorer. Donte DiVincenzo also had a strong game for the Knicks, knocking down five threes and finishing with 25 points. Myles Turner led the Pacers with 23 points.

Recent Form

Indiana’s O/U record for the season is now 48-41 after two straight games going over the posted total. This year, their games have averaged 242.1 points per game compared to today’s line of 222.5.

On the season, the Pacers have gone 22-19 as the underdog and are 25-14 ATS as the underdog. Today, they are getting 4.5 points on the spread and are 22-19 as the underdog.

Indiana’s last game against the Knicks also went over the O/U line. The two teams combined for 238 points, surpassing the line of 217.5. The Pacers lost the game by a score of 121-117.

Against the spread, Indiana is 48-39 this season and has covered in their last two games. On the road, they are 24-20 ATS compared to 24-19 ATS at home.

The Pacers are currently 6th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 47-35. In their division, they are 3rd. In non-conference play, they are 15-15 compared to 32-20 against the East.

The Knicks have a record of 50-32 this season, which is good for 2nd place in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 15-15 compared to 35-17 against other Eastern Conference teams.

New York has won two straight games on the road and has an ATS road record of 25-18. As the favorite, the Knicks are 39-12 this season and have gone 29-21 ATS as the favorite. Today, they are favored by 4.5 points.

In their last game against the Pacers, the Knicks won 121-117. The O/U line for that game was 217.5, and the Knicks were favored by 6 points. This improved their ATS record to 48-40 for the season.

The Knicks’ O/U record for the season is 41-47-1, and the over has hit in their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 220.9 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 222.5.

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The Historicals

Over the last 5 head to head meetings, the Pacers have averaged 125 points per game compared to 120 for New York. This has led to an ATS record of 4-1 for Indiana. Indiana and New York averaged a combined 245 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

Analysis

Indiana comes into the game as the NBA’s top-scoring team, averaging 123.3 points per game. They have been even better on the road, at 119.8 points per contest. The Pacers are also the top team in field goal percentage, hitting 50% of their shots this season.

Myles Turner has averaged 19.8 points per game over his last five games on a shooting percentage of 50.7%. In these games, he hit 43.8% of his threes. Tyrese Haliburton has hit 2.8 threes per game in his last five games but shot just 28.6% from downtown in that stretch. For the season, Haliburton is averaging 20.1 points and 10.9 assists.

On the season, the Pacers are 27th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 119.6. When playing on the road, Indiana is giving up 121.0 points per contest, which is also 27th in the league.

When it comes to defending the three-point line, Indiana has been outstanding. On the year, they are 1st in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.5%. Opponents have also made just 10.7 threes per game against the Pacers.

One area where the Pacers have struggled defensively is at the free-throw line. They are 30th in the NBA in made free-throws allowed per game at 25.7.

Jalen Brunson is averaging 42 points per game over his last five games while hitting 50% of his shots from the field. In these games, he also averaged 9.4 assists. Overall, Brunson is hitting 40.1% of his threes. Over their last five games, OG Anunoby and Josh Hart are averaging 16.4 points per game on 50% and 45.3% shooting, respectively.

This season, the Knicks are 24th in home scoring at home at 111.1 points per game. Overall, they are 19th in the league, averaging 112.8 points per contest. The Knicks are also 21st in field goal percentage, at 46%. New York has hit 36% of their threes, which is 10th in the league.

When it comes to defense, the New York Knicks have been one of the best in the league this season. They are currently 5th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 108.3. At home, they have been even better, giving up just 105.6 points per contest, which is 3rd in the league.

One area where the Knicks have struggled defensively is on the glass. They are just 21st in the league in defensive rebounds per game at 45.2. In terms of steals, they are 20th in the NBA at 7.5 per contest. When it comes to blocking shots, they are 28th in the league at 4.1 per game.

So far this season, opponents have shot 47% from the field against the Knicks, which is 13th in the league. From beyond the arc, opponents are shooting 36.3%, which is also 11th in the NBA. In terms of free throws, New York is 5th in the league in made free throws allowed per game at 20.1.

Betting Trends

  • Through their last five road contests, the Pacers offense has averaged 109 points per game while allowing an average of 116. Indiana posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • New York has played well in their previous five home games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 115 points per game while allowing 111. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Indiana has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Knicks have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

The Pacers had a real shot to take game one in New York, but Jalen Brunson put up another huge game and the Knicks got the benefit of a few key calls down the stretch. For game two, I actually am going with the Pacers to cover the spread. Indiana also dropped game one in their series vs. Milwaukee before responding with a huge performance in game two. I’m taking Indiana +4.5.

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