Jazz vs. Clippers Betting Analysis & Predictions 11/6/22

by | Nov 6, 2022 | nba

Utah Jazz (7-3 SU, 7-2-1 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Clippers (5-4 SU, 3-5-1 ATS)
When: Sunday, November 6th, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles
TV: SPORT

Point Spread: UTA +4.5/ LAC -4.5
Total: 223.5
Money Line: Utah Jazz +145/ -179

Notable Injuries

Jazz

  • Leandro Bolmaro (Out) Health Protocols
  • Simone Fontecchio (Probable) Conditioning

Clippers

  • Kawhi Leonard (Out) Injury Management
  • Robert Covington (Questionable) Illness
  • Luke Kennard (Out) Chest

Recent Form

So far, the Jazz have put together an overall record of 7-3, while going 7-2-1 vs the spread.
In the team’s past 3 games, their overall mark sits at 2-1. Utah is 3-0 vs the spread in these
matchups.

The Jazz are coming off a 130-116 win over the Lakers. This away win came despite entering the
game as the 4-point underdogs. Utah played well enough in the second half to prevent the Lakers
from making things interesting down the stretch, as they led by 13 going into halftime. In the
win, Lauri Markkanen led the team in scoring with 27 points on a field goal percentage of
52.9%.

So far, the Clippers have put together an overall record of 5-4, while going 3-5-1 vs the
spread. Against the Jazz, the Clippers are looking to add to their current 3-game winning streak.
The average margin of victory across these matchups is 5.67.

In their previous game, the Clippers took down the Spurs by a score of 113-106. Not only did
they come away with a straight-up win, but they also covered the spread as 3-point favorites.
Even though Los Angeles did not immediately put a dent in their halftime deficit as they trailed
by 4 points heading into 4th, they still managed to come out on top. Leading the team in scoring
was Paul George, as he contributed 32 points while hitting 68.8% of his shots.

The Historicals

Although the Jazz had an overall record of 2-1 in last year’s season series, the Clippers did
a good job defending their home court, posting a mark of 1-0 when hosting Utah. In last year’s
head-to-head meetings, the Jazz averaged 120.0 points per game vs Los Angeles, which was an
increase over their season-long average. While the Jazz saw a boost in scoring, the Clippers
averaged 105.33 points per contest in a head-to-head meeting vs Utah. This figure was similar to
the season-long average. Across the last 5 matchups between the teams, Los Angeles has gone 3-2
vs. the spread. However, the Jazz actually have a positive scoring margin in these games at +5
points per game. In these matchups, the teams have put together an over-under mark of 4-0-1.
Combined, they averaged 231 points in these games.

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Analysis

The Utah offense will take the floor in today’s game, with the league’s 5th-ranked offense at
117.0 points per game. The Jazz come into the game as one of the league’s better 3-point shooting
teams, connecting at a rate of 14.8 made 3’s per game. In addition to their strong outside
shooting numbers, the team is playing at one of the fastest paces in the NBA, averaging 101.3
possessions per contest.

Against the Clippers, the Jazz will look to continue their strong defensive play. For the
year, they are the 10th-ranked unit at 107.57 points per game.

Lauri Markkanen could be in line for a big game vs the Clippers as they were one of the worst
units at defending power-forwards in the 2021-2022 regular season.

For the season, the Clippers’ offensive unit is ranked just 30th in scoring at 102.3 points
per contest. Coming into today’s game, the Clippers will be looking to improve their 3-point
shooting numbers, as they are averaging just 10.3 made 3’s per game. If Los Angeles continues to
struggle with their outside shot, they may look to start playing with more pace, as they are
currently 24th in the league in possessions per game.

Defensively, the Clippers are one of the top-performing units in the league, giving up 108.39
points per contest (11th).

A key matchup to watch is if the team’s leading scorer Paul George, will be limited at all by
the Jazz, who are on the NBA’s top teams at limiting the scoring of opposing small-forwards.

Betting Trends

  • Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Jazz are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous
    game.
  • Clippers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous
    game.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Clippers are starting to gel with regards to chemistry. The market is slow to react and
that gives us tremendous wagering value at -4.5. I’m betting the Clippers!