Jazz vs. Mavericks Prediction ATS 3/27/22

by | Mar 27, 2022 | nba

Utah Jazz (45-29 SU, 31-41-2 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (45-29 SU, 41-32-1 ATS)

When: Sunday March 27 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas Texas

TV: ATTSN-RM

Point Spread: UTA +3/DAL -3 (Opened DAL -3 at Everygame - Check out their 200% bonus on your first deposit of $25!)

Total: 219 (Opened at 223.5)

Money Line: Utah 121/Dallas -145

Power Rating: DAL -4

Probable Starting Lineups

Utah Jazz PG Mike Conley, SG Donovan Mitchell, SF Royce O’Neale, PF Juan Hernangomez, C Rudy Gobert

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic, SG Jalen Brunson, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Key Injuries

Utah Jazz
Hassan Whiteside: Foot (QUESTIONABLE)
Udoka Azubuike: Ankle (OUT)
Danuel House Jr.: Knee (OUT)
Bojan Bogdanovic: Calf (OUT)

Dallas Mavericks
Trey Burke: Illness (QUESTIONABLE)
Davis Bertans: Knee (PROBABLE)
Sterling Brown: Illness (OUT)
Theo Pinson: Finger (OUT)
Tim Hardaway Jr.: Foot (OUT)

The Dallas Mavericks host the Utah Jazz in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center.

Recent Form

The Utah Jazz come into this game with an overall record of 45-29, placing them 5th in the Western Conference. So far, Utah is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 19-18. Over the Jazz’s last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Utah’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 107.0 points per game. Combined, the Jazz’s last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Jazz are allowing an average of 106.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 107.6. In the Utah Jazz’ most recent game, the team fell to Charlotte by a score of 107-101.

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 45-29, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 at home, holding a record of 25-12. Over the Mavericks’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Dallas’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 105.0 points per game. Combined, the Mavericks’ last five opponents are giving up 112.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Mavericks’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 111.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 104.1.In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, the team fell to Minnesota by a score of 116-95.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Utah travels to take on the Dallas Mavericks, the Jazz’ leading scorer is Donovan Mitchell. Through 61 games, Mitchell is averaging 26 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 54.0% of his games. As Mitchell gets set to take on the Mavericks, he could be in line for a big game as Dallas is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 52.63% of their games. This figure places them 22nd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring, averaging 27 points across his 58 games. Throughout the season, Doncic has outscored his season average in 43.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Doncic will need to do so against a Jazz defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 41.38%. This figure is good for a rank of 4th in the league.

Matchup Analysis

The Jazz come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 112.9 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Utah is winning at a rate of 53%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 14.0 points. On the other side, the Mavericks hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 29 games as the better defensive team, picking up 21 wins (72%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Dallas picked up a 111-103 win.

How the Public is Betting the Jazz vs Mavericks

67% are betting the against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 221.0

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Jazz are 16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Jazz are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
  • Mavericks are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

In one of the best matchups of today’s NBA slate of games, the Dallas Mavericks host the Utah Jazz in a battle for the 4th seed in the Western Conference. If the season were to end today, these two teams would be facing each other in the first round of the playoffs. Each side will be looking to pick up the win, as it gives them a slight leg up in a battle for home-court advantage. With a spread sitting 3 points in favor of the Mavs, look for Dallas to pick up the win and cover the spread. Bet your Jazz/Mavs pick and ALL your NBA bets for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit up to $1000 at Betnow!