Jazz vs. Mavs Odds & Prediction ATS 3/7/22

by | Mar 7, 2022 | nba

Utah Jazz (40-23 SU, 27-35-1 ATS) vs. Dallas Mavericks (39-25 SU, 36-27-1 ATS)

When: Monday March 07 2022, 08:30 PM (ET)

Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas Texas

TV: ATTSN-RM

Point Spread: UTA +1.5/DAL -1.5 (Opened DAL -1.5 at Bovada - Home of the most incredible live wagering platform on the web!)

Total: 218 (Opened at 216.5)

Money Line: Utah Jazz +102/Dallas Mavericks -123

Power Rating: PK

Probable Starting Lineups

Utah Jazz PG Mike Conley P, SG Donovan Mitchell, SF Bojan Bogdanovic, PF Royce O’Neale, C Rudy Gobert

Dallas Mavericks PG Luka Doncic P, SG Jalen Brunson Q, SF Reggie Bullock, PF Dorian Finney-Smith, C Dwight Powell

Key Injuries

Utah Jazz
Mike Conley: Knee (QUESTIONABLE)

Dallas Mavericks
Maxi Kleber: Ankle (Questionable)
Luka Doncic: Toe (Questionable)

The Dallas Mavericks host the Utah Jazz in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:30 PM ET at the American Airlines Center.

Recent Form

The Utah Jazz come into this game with an overall record of 40-23, placing them 4th in the Western Conference. So far, Utah is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 18-13. Over their last five games, the Jazz have played well, picking up 4 wins. In this stretch, Utah’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 114.0 points per game. Combined, the Jazzs’ last five opponents are giving up 109.0 points per contest. Even though Utah has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 115.0 points per game, up from the Jazz’s usual rate of 107.6. In the Utah Jazz’ most recent game, Utah took down the Okla City by a score of 116-103

The Dallas Mavericks come into this game with an overall record of 39-25, placing them 5th in the Western Conference. So far, Dallas is above .500 at home, holding a record of 22-11. The Mavericks have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Dallas is averaging 112.0 points per game, 5.0 points more than their season average of 107.1. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. Even though the Mavericks have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 109.0 points per game, up from Dallas’s usual rate of 103.7. In the Dallas Mavericks’ most recent game, Dallas took down Sacramento by a score of 114-113.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Utah travels to take on the Dallas Mavericks, the Jazz’ leading scorer is Donovan Mitchell. Through 51 games, Mitchell is averaging 25 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 61.0% of his games. Against the Mavericks, Mitchell will need to be on top of his game as Dallas is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 42.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Luka Doncic leads the Mavericks in scoring, averaging 27 points across his 84 games. Throughout the season, Doncic has outscored his season average in 29.0% of his outings. Given that Utah’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Luka Doncic should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Jazz have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.98% of their games, giving them a rank of 20th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

The Jazz come into this game as the more efficient offensive team, averaging 112.8 points per 100 possessions. When playing as the superior offensive unit, Utah is winning at a rate of 57%. These victories are coming by an average margin of 14.0 points. On the other side, the Mavericks hold the advantage on the defensive end of the floor. So far, they have played 27 games as the better defensive team, picking up 19 wins (70%).

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Utah picked up a 114-109 win.

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How the Public is Betting the Jazz vs Mavericks

67% are betting the Mavericks against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 217.0

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Jazz are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Mavericks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall..
  • Mavericks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

This matchup between Utah and Dallas features a battle of the 4th and 5th seeds in the Western Conference. Heading into the game, Dallas is just 1.5 games behind the Jazz, as each team looks to improve their playoff seeding. I like the Jazz to pick up the win and cover the spread as Utah has a clear advantage inside, as Dallas is one of the worst rebounding team’s in the NBA. Bet your Utah/Dallas pick and ALL your NBA wagers for FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook!